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Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
27 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Otago started on 38%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 22% to 99% during the match (Canterbury: 1% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Dean Foxcroft · Mason Clarke 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dean Foxcroft · b Mason Clarke | 24 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 218.18 |
 Tom Lathamstumped · Max Chu · Ben Lockrose1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Max Chu · b Ben Lockrose | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Mason Clarke · Dean Foxcroft 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mason Clarke · b Dean Foxcroft | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 112.50 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Dale Phillips · Ben Lockrose 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dale Phillips · b Ben Lockrose | 49 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 144.12 |
| Harry Chamberlaincaught · Max Chu · Matthew Bacon 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Max Chu · b Matthew Bacon |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Michael Ripponcaught · Ben Lockrose · Dean Foxcroft 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Lockrose · b Dean Foxcroft | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Henry Shipleynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonbowled · Andrew Hazeldine0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Andrew Hazeldine | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhirun out · Max Chu · Matthew Bacon1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Max Chu | 23 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 164.29 |
|---|
| Angus McKenzielbw · Matthew Bacon 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matthew Bacon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Michael Raerun out · Dean Foxcroft, Matthew Bacon · Matthew Bacon 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Dean Foxcroft, Matthew Bacon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Clarke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Hazeldine0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Dean Foxcroft0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Dale Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Chad Bowes, 3.0) · 2-29 (Tom Latham, 3.1) · 3-74 (Matt Boyle, 8.1) · 4-101 (Harry Chamberlain, 11.5) · 5-111 (Cole McConchie, 13.5) · 6-113 (Michael Rippon, 14.4) · 7-116 (Kyle Jamieson, 15.3) · 8-153 (Ish Sodhi, 19.3) · 9-153 (Angus McKenzie, 19.4) · 10-155 (Michael Rae, 20.0)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 35/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 16 | 74/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 79/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 86/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 94/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 101/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 108/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 111/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 114/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 119/7 |
| 17 | 13 | 132/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 139/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 150/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 155/10 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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