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Photo: Escpl
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Indian Premier League · 2026 · Men
22 Apr 2026 · T20
Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photographRecorded result
Rajasthan Royals started on 47%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.
Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 17% to 100% during the match (Lucknow Super Giants: 0% to 84%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Riyan Parag · Nandre Burger6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Riyan Parag · b Nandre Burger | 55 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 134.15 |
| Ayush Badonirun out · Ravi Singh · Jofra Archer 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ravi Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Nandre Burger0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Nandre Burger | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Aiden Markramcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel |
| 0 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Nicolas Poorancaught · Donavon Ferreira · Ravindra Jadeja 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Ravindra Jadeja | 22 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 88.00 |
|---|
| Himmat Singhbowled · Ravi Bishnoi 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ravi Bishnoi | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| MD Choudharycaught · Riyan Parag · Brijesh Sharma 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Riyan Parag · b Brijesh Sharma | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
 Mohammed Shamibowled · Brijesh Sharma0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Brijesh Sharma | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Mayank Yadavcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Jofra Archer 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Jofra Archer | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| DS Rathinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Mohsin Khanbowled · Jofra Archer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jofra Archer1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Brijesh Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-9 (Ayush Badoni, 1.0) · 2-10 (Rishabh Pant, 1.4) · 3-11 (Aiden Markram, 2.5) · 4-54 (Nicolas Pooran, 9.4) · 5-91 (Himmat Singh, 14.3) · 6-105 (Mitchell Marsh, 15.3) · 7-111 (MD Choudhary, 16.1) · 8-113 (Mohammed Shami, 16.3) · 9-119 (Mayank Yadav, 17.3) · 10-119 (Mohsin Khan, 18.0)
Recorded target: 160 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 10/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 16/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/3 |
| 5 | 0 | 22/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 40/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 44/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 55/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 74/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 80/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 89/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 99/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 111/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 114/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 119/10 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Mohammed Shami: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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