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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
20 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 74%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 69% to 100% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 0% to 31%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedcaught · SS Kang · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SS Kang · b D Parashar | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Faisal Khancaught · Waseem Muhammad · SS Kang 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b SS Kang | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 158.82 |
| Usman Khalidcaught · Zuhaib Zubair · D Parashar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zuhaib Zubair · b D Parashar | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Waji Ul Hassanrun out · D Parashar · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · D Parashar | 17 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 62.96 |
| Manan Alicaught · Zuhaib Zubair · SS Kang 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Zuhaib Zubair · b SS Kang | 33 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 117.86 |
| bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah |
| 16 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 160.00 |
| Zain Ul Abidinnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 19* | 9 | 1 | 1 | 211.11 |
|---|
| Usman Najeebnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 163.64 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Faisal Khan, 4.2) · 2-36 (Usman Khalid, 5.2) · 3-43 (Abdul Waheed, 7.4) · 4-88 (Waji Ul Hassan, 14.1) · 5-96 (Manan Ali, 15.5) · 6-119 (Abdul Wahid, 17.3)
Recorded target: 163 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 39/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 52/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 57/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 60/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 70/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 82/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 88/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 95/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 98/5 |
| 17 | 16 | 114/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 128/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 138/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 145/6 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
