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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
20 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 74%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 69% to 100% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 0% to 31%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Faisal Khan · Ishtiaq Ahmad2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Faisal Khan · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 19 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 95.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Manan Ali · Usman Khalid 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Manan Ali · b Usman Khalid | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 154.55 |
| Asif Khanbowled · Usman Khalid 3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Usman Khalid | 45 | 37 | 3 | 3 | 121.62 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Abdul Wahid · Shahzaib 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Abdul Wahid · b Shahzaib | 58 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 161.11 |
| Ali Naseerretired out · Shahzaib 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Zuhaib Zubairnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Shahzaib0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Wahid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Alishan Sharafu, 4.2) · 2-38 (Waseem Muhammad, 5.2) · 3-119 (Asif Khan, 15.1) · 4-139 (Ali Naseer, 18.0) · 5-162 (Rahul Chopra, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 60/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 67/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 75/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 84/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 88/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 95/2 |
| 15 | 24 | 119/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 122/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 132/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 139/4 |
| 19 | 16 | 155/4 |
| 20 | 7 | 162/5 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
