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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
8 Jun 2025 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 62%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 61% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 39%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · George Garton · Ed Barnard0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Ed Barnard | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught and bowled · George Garton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b George Garton | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| David Lloydcaught · George Garton · Hasan Ali 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Hasan Ali | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 188.89 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Kai Smith · Danny Briggs3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kai Smith · b Danny Briggs | 46 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 143.75 |
| caught · Ed Barnard · b Hasan Ali |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
 Ross Whiteleycaught · George Garton · Hasan Ali2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Hasan Ali | 50 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 135.14 |
|---|
 Fynn Hudson-Prenticenot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 185.71 |
|---|
 Alex Thomsoncaught · George Garton · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ben Aitchisonbowled · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfarcaught · Sam Hain · Dan Mousley 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Dan Mousley | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Patrick Brownbowled · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Ali | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 7.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Caleb Jewell, 0.5) · 2-1 (Aneurin Donald, 1.1) · 3-24 (David Lloyd, 3.3) · 4-28 (Martin Andersson, 4.0) · 5-103 (Wayne Madsen, 13.0) · 6-135 (Ross Whiteley, 15.3) · 7-135 (Alex Thomson, 15.4) · 8-135 (Ben Aitchison, 15.5) · 9-140 (Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar, 16.4) · 10-141 (Patrick Brown, 17.1)
Recorded target: 200 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/2 |
| 3 | 13 | 23/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 28/4 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/4 |
| 6 | 7 | 41/4 |
| 7 | 10 | 51/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 56/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 62/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 71/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 81/4 |
| 12 | 14 | 95/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 103/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 111/5 |
| 15 | 17 | 128/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 139/8 |
| 17 | 2 | 141/9 |
| 18 | 0 | 141/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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