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Photo: Benchill
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
18 Jan 2025 · T20
University Oval, Dunedin · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 41%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillipscaught · Tom Blundell · Ben Sears 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Ben Sears | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · Nick Kelly · Ben Sears 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nick Kelly · b Ben Sears | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
 Max Chubowled · Peter Younghusband4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Peter Younghusband | 35 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 205.88 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Logan van Beek · Ben Sears 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Logan van Beek · b Ben Sears | 49 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 153.13 |
| Leo Cartercaught · Troy Johnson · Logan van Beek 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Troy Johnson · b Logan van Beek |
| 12 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 85.71 |
| Llew Johnsoncaught · Logan van Beek · Ben Sears 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Logan van Beek · b Ben Sears | 21 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 161.54 |
|---|
 Luke Georgesonbowled · Michael Bracewell0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Michael Bracewell | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ben Lockroserun out · Muhammad Abbas, Peter Younghusband · Muhammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Muhammad Abbas, Peter Younghusband | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Andrew Hazeldinerun out · Nick Kelly · Muhammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nick Kelly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
 Jacob Duffynot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Matthew Baconbowled · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Logan van Beek | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.70 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 4 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| James Hartshorn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Muhammad Abbas0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-10 (Jamal Todd, 1.2) · 2-42 (Dale Phillips, 5.3) · 3-56 (Max Chu, 6.3) · 4-88 (Leo Carter, 10.5) · 5-113 (Llew Johnson, 13.4) · 6-118 (Luke Georgeson, 15.0) · 7-124 (Ben Lockrose, 15.3) · 8-124 (Andrew Hazeldine, 15.4) · 9-150 (Glenn Phillips, 17.4) · 10-153 (Matthew Bacon, 18.5)
Recorded target: 187 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 58/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 62/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 84/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 88/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 95/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 105/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 114/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 118/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 126/8 |
| 17 | 16 | 142/8 |
| 18 | 8 | 150/9 |
| 19 | 3 | 153/10 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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