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Photo: Benchill
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
18 Jan 2025 · T20
University Oval, Dunedin · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 41%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsonnot out 4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 76* | 58 | 4 | 4 | 131.03 |
 Tom Blundellcaught · Leo Carter · Luke Georgeson2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Leo Carter · b Luke Georgeson | 23 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 127.78 |
| Nick Kellystumped · Max Chu · Glenn Phillips 6 fours · 3 sixes | stumped · Max Chu · b Glenn Phillips | 57 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 178.13 |
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Jamal Todd · Ben Lockrose 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jamal Todd · b Ben Lockrose | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 250.00 |
 Jesse Tashkoff |
| not out |
| 3* |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Lockrose0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Andrew Hazeldine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Bacon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Georgeson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Tom Blundell, 5.4) · 2-145 (Nick Kelly, 16.3) · 3-167 (Michael Bracewell, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 36/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 48/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 56/1 |
| 10 | 17 | 73/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 80/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 90/1 |
| 13 | 14 | 104/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 113/1 |
| 15 | 11 | 124/1 |
| 16 | 14 | 138/1 |
| 17 | 11 | 149/2 |
| 18 | 17 | 166/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 173/3 |
| 20 | 13 | 186/3 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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