OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Jersey tour of Guernsey · 2024 · Men
22 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Guernsey started on 49%; Guernsey batted first.
Guernsey's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Jersey: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Carlyoncaught · Oliver Nightingale · C Forshaw 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Oliver Nightingale · b C Forshaw | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Nick Greenwoodcaught · Oliver Clapham · Matthew Stokes 9 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Oliver Clapham · b Matthew Stokes | 85 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 170.00 |
| Jonty Jennercaught · Tom Nightingale · Matthew Stokes 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Nightingale · b Matthew Stokes | 35 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 145.83 |
| Zak Tribenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 19 | 2 | 0 | 110.53 |
| Charlie Brennannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Bichard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harry Johnson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| A Martel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 11.37 | 0 | 0 |
| C Forshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| M Dale-Bradley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Stokes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Harrison Carlyon, 3.2) · 2-120 (Jonty Jenner, 11.5) · 3-145 (Nick Greenwood, 15.2)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 63/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 71/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 90/1 |
| 10 | 15 | 105/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 113/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 120/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 131/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 139/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 144/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 147/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 150/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 156/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 157/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.