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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
9 Jun 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 49%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Harry Finchcaught · Zaman Akhter · CE Bennett0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zaman Akhter · b CE Bennett | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 144.44 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · CWJ Allison · CE Bennett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b CE Bennett | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Zak Crawleycaught · CWJ Allison · Zaman Akhter3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b Zaman Akhter | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 140.00 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Shane Snater · Wiaan Mulder3 fours · 4 sixes |
| caught · Shane Snater · b Wiaan Mulder |
| 62 |
| 38 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 163.16 |
 Joe Denlycaught · Shane Snater · Matthew Critchley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shane Snater · b Matthew Critchley | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Chris Benjamincaught · Luc Benkenstein · Shane Snater 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Luc Benkenstein · b Shane Snater | 16 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 123.08 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartcaught · Simon Harmer · Zaman Akhter0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Simon Harmer · b Zaman Akhter | 13 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Keith Dudgeonrun out · Simon Harmer · Wiaan Mulder 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Simon Harmer | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Jacob Lintottnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 9 | 3 | 0 | 188.89 |
|---|
 Matt Milnescaught · Wiaan Mulder · Zaman Akhter0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Zaman Akhter | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassennot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 18* | 5 | 1 | 2 | 360.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| CE Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Zaman Akhter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 1.3) · 2-21 (Harry Finch, 3.2) · 3-58 (Zak Crawley, 7.3) · 4-61 (Joe Denly, 8.2) · 5-119 (Sam Billings, 13.5) · 6-121 (Chris Benjamin, 14.2) · 7-141 (Keith Dudgeon, 16.5) · 8-148 (Grant Stewart, 17.2) · 9-150 (Matt Milnes, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 60/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 68/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 83/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 89/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 106/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 120/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 124/6 |
| 16 | 14 | 138/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 147/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 150/9 |
| 19 | 20 | 170/9 |
| 20 | 14 | 184/9 |
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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