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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
9 Jun 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 49%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · Matt Milnes 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · b Matt Milnes | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 130.77 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Chris Benjamin · Matt Milnes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Benjamin · b Matt Milnes | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Matt Milnes · Grant Stewart 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Milnes · b Grant Stewart | 40 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 129.03 |
| CWJ Allisoncaught · Jacob Lintott · Keith Dudgeon 3 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Keith Dudgeon | 74 | 47 | 3 | 6 | 157.45 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Jacob Lintott · Fred Klaassen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Fred Klaassen | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 71.43 |
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Joe Denly · Matt Milnes3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Denly · b Matt Milnes | 29 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 263.64 |
|---|
 Simon Harmernot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Dudgeon0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 13.50 | 4 | 0 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 2.1) · 2-42 (Paul Walter, 5.4) · 3-100 (Jordan Cox, 13.2) · 4-115 (Luc Benkenstein, 15.0) · 5-164 (Wiaan Mulder, 18.3) · 6-187 (CWJ Allison, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 74/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 83/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 98/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 105/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 115/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 121/4 |
| 17 | 18 | 139/4 |
| 18 | 19 | 158/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 170/5 |
| 20 | 17 | 187/6 |
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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