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Malaysia Open T20 Championship · 2023/24 · Men
10 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 62%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Vanuatu: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Allancaught · Haider Butt · S Veerapathiran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Haider Butt · b S Veerapathiran | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Joshua Rasubowled · Sachin Kumar 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sachin Kumar | 24 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Patrick Matautaavacaught · Abdul Majid Abbasi · S Veerapathiran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Majid Abbasi · b S Veerapathiran | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nalin Nipikostumped · Umer Imtiaz · Sachin Kumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Umer Imtiaz · b Sachin Kumar | 18 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| W Woturun out · Umer Imtiaz, Junaid Aziz · Haider Butt 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Umer Imtiaz, Junaid Aziz | 16 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| JP Kaltapaubowled · Sachin Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Sachin Kumar |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Williamsing Nalisastumped · Umer Imtiaz · Sachin Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Umer Imtiaz · b Sachin Kumar | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Jamal Virabowled · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 15 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Ronald Taribowled · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Apolinaire Stephenbowled · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tim Cutlernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
| S Veerapathiran1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Abdul Majid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sachin Kumar0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 10.00 | 5 | 1 |
| Haider Butt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-7 (JD Allan, 1.2) · 2-7 (Patrick Matautaava, 2.0) · 3-47 (Nalin Nipiko, 8.5) · 4-52 (Joshua Rasu, 10.2) · 5-52 (JP Kaltapau, 10.3) · 6-69 (Williamsing Nalisa, 12.4) · 7-77 (W Wotu, 13.2) · 8-103 (Ronald Tari, 16.4) · 9-103 (Apolinaire Stephen, 16.5) · 10-110 (Jamal Vira, 18.4)
Recorded target: 167 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 28/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 36/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 48/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 50/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 55/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 59/5 |
| 13 | 16 | 75/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 80/7 |
| 15 | 14 | 94/7 |
| 16 | 7 | 101/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 103/9 |
| 18 | 5 | 108/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 110/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.