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Malaysia Open T20 Championship · 2023/24 · Men
10 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 62%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Vanuatu: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umer Imtiazcaught · Patrick Matautaava · Apolinaire Stephen 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Patrick Matautaava · b Apolinaire Stephen | 26 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 162.50 |
| Imran Anwarcaught · JD Allan · Patrick Matautaava 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JD Allan · b Patrick Matautaava | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sohail Ahmednot out 2 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 73* | 51 | 2 | 5 | 143.14 |
| Haider Buttbowled · Nalin Nipiko 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nalin Nipiko | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Ronald Tari · Tim Cutler 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ronald Tari · b Tim Cutler | 51 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 124.39 |
| not out |
| 4* |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Matautaava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Apolinaire Stephen0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Nalin Nipiko0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Joshua Rasu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Williamsing Nalisa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Tim Cutler0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Imran Anwar, 0.4) · 2-50 (Umer Imtiaz, 5.1) · 3-60 (Haider Butt, 7.4) · 4-159 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 17 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 19 | 48/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 50/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 52/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 61/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 83/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 95/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 104/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 117/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 128/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 139/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 148/3 |
| 19 | 11 | 159/4 |
| 20 | 7 | 166/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.