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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · Test
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Alick Athanaze · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alick Athanaze · b Alzarri Joseph | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Jason Holder · Shamar Joseph14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Shamar Joseph | 71 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 120.34 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Kavem Hodge · Alzarri Joseph15 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kavem Hodge · b Alzarri Joseph | 121 | 167 | 15 | 1 | 72.46 |
| caught · Alzarri Joseph · b Jayden Seales |
| 14 |
| 29 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 48.28 |
 Harry Brookcaught · Kirk McKenzie · Kevin Sinclair5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kirk McKenzie · b Kevin Sinclair | 36 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 105.88 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · JS Louis · Kavem Hodge8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JS Louis · b Kavem Hodge | 69 | 104 | 8 | 0 | 66.35 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Jason Holder · Kavem Hodge2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Kavem Hodge | 36 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Chris Woakescaught · Jason Holder · Jayden Seales3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Jayden Seales | 37 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 77.08 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsoncaught · Kavem Hodge · Kevin Sinclair 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kavem Hodge · b Kevin Sinclair | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Mark Woodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 29 | 0 | 0 | 44.83 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashircaught · Jason Holder · Alzarri Joseph 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Holder · b Alzarri Joseph | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alzarri Joseph1 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 15.3 | 1 | 98 | 3 | 6.32 | 0 | 4 |
| Jayden Seales1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 90 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Jason Holder0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 4.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.3 | 2 | 44 | 1 | 3.83 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Sinclair0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 22.0 | 0 | 73 | 2 | 3.32 | 0 | 1 |
 Kraigg Brathwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavem Hodge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Zak Crawley, 0.3) · 2-105 (Ben Duckett, 19.0) · 3-142 (Joe Root, 29.3) · 4-201 (Harry Brook, 41.2) · 5-281 (Ollie Pope, 57.1) · 6-342 (Ben Stokes, 71.2) · 7-367 (Jamie Smith, 77.4) · 8-370 (Gus Atkinson, 78.4) · 9-408 (Chris Woakes, 87.2) · 10-416 (Shoaib Bashir, 88.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 19 | 23/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 35/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 44/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 55/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 58/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 66/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 76/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 82/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 86/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 86/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 88/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 91/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 94/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 95/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 101/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 105/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 108/2 |
| 21 | 10 | 118/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 118/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 121/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 133/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 134/2 |
| 27 | 1 | 135/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 138/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 142/2 |
| 30 | 1 | 143/3 |
| 31 | 9 | 152/3 |
| 32 | 9 | 161/3 |
| 33 | 15 | 176/3 |
| 34 | 8 | 184/3 |
| 35 | 0 | 184/3 |
| 36 | 4 | 188/3 |
| 37 | 6 | 194/3 |
| 38 | 0 | 194/3 |
| 39 | 4 | 198/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 200/3 |
| 41 | 1 | 201/3 |
| 42 | 2 | 203/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 208/4 |
| 44 | 1 | 209/4 |
| 45 | 7 | 216/4 |
| 46 | 9 | 225/4 |
| 47 | 9 | 234/4 |
| 48 | 4 | 238/4 |
| 49 | 4 | 242/4 |
| 50 | 4 | 246/4 |
| 51 | 5 | 251/4 |
| 52 | 4 | 255/4 |
| 53 | 4 | 259/4 |
| 54 | 8 | 267/4 |
| 55 | 6 | 273/4 |
| 56 | 6 | 279/4 |
| 57 | 2 | 281/4 |
| 58 | 7 | 288/5 |
| 59 | 5 | 293/5 |
| 60 | 3 | 296/5 |
| 61 | 11 | 307/5 |
| 62 | 2 | 309/5 |
| 63 | 4 | 313/5 |
| 64 | 2 | 315/5 |
| 65 | 2 | 317/5 |
| 66 | 2 | 319/5 |
| 67 | 3 | 322/5 |
| 68 | 3 | 325/5 |
| 69 | 7 | 332/5 |
| 70 | 9 | 341/5 |
| 71 | 1 | 342/5 |
| 72 | 2 | 344/6 |
| 73 | 2 | 346/6 |
| 74 | 3 | 349/6 |
| 75 | 7 | 356/6 |
| 76 | 1 | 357/6 |
| 77 | 3 | 360/6 |
| 78 | 9 | 369/7 |
| 79 | 2 | 371/8 |
| 80 | 1 | 372/8 |
| 81 | 2 | 374/8 |
| 82 | 4 | 378/8 |
| 83 | 2 | 380/8 |
| 84 | 7 | 387/8 |
| 85 | 5 | 392/8 |
| 86 | 5 | 397/8 |
| 87 | 7 | 404/8 |
| 88 | 6 | 410/9 |
| 89 | 6 | 416/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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