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West Indies tour of England · 2024 · Men
18 Jul 2024 · Test
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitecaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 47 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 97.92 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Jamie Smith · Chris Woakes 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Chris Woakes | 17 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 42.50 |
| Kirk McKenziecaught · Jamie Smith · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Shoaib Bashir | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Joe Root · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Shoaib Bashir | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 8.33 |
| Kavem Hodgelbw · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shoaib Bashir | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jason Holderbowled · Shoaib Bashir4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 37 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 88.10 |
|---|
| Kevin Sinclaircaught · Zak Crawley · Mark Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Mark Wood | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5.88 |
|---|
 Joshua Da Silvalbw · Gus Atkinson1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 14 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephbowled · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephbowled · Shoaib Bashir 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 3 | 28 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 49 | 2 | 5.44 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark Wood2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 2.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.1 | 2 | 41 | 5 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-61 (Mikyle Louis, 13.1) · 2-66 (Kirk McKenzie, 14.3) · 3-74 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 16.0) · 4-75 (Kavem Hodge, 17.0) · 5-82 (Alick Athanaze, 18.5) · 6-91 (Kevin Sinclair, 23.2) · 7-113 (Joshua Da Silva, 31.1) · 8-113 (Alzarri Joseph, 31.3) · 9-129 (Jason Holder, 33.0) · 10-143 (Shamar Joseph, 36.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 30/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 44/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 54/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 56/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 56/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 61/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 66/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 66/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 74/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 75/4 |
| 18 | 0 | 75/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 82/5 |
| 20 | 1 | 83/5 |
| 21 | 6 | 89/5 |
| 22 | 0 | 89/5 |
| 23 | 2 | 91/5 |
| 24 | 0 | 91/6 |
| 25 | 1 | 92/6 |
| 26 | 1 | 93/6 |
| 27 | 0 | 93/6 |
| 28 | 3 | 96/6 |
| 29 | 1 | 97/6 |
| 30 | 9 | 106/6 |
| 31 | 7 | 113/6 |
| 32 | 5 | 118/8 |
| 33 | 11 | 129/9 |
| 34 | 4 | 133/9 |
| 35 | 5 | 138/9 |
| 36 | 5 | 143/9 |
| 37 | 0 | 143/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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