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Bahrain tour of Bhutan · 2025/26 · Men
12 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 91%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 86% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 14%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · Tashi Dorji · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tashi Dorji · b Ranjung Mikyo Dorji | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Naveena Shettycaught · Anand Mongar · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anand Mongar · b T Wangchuk | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sohail Ahmednot out 4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 76* | 57 | 4 | 4 | 133.33 |
| Fiaz Ahmedstumped · Tshering Tashi · Sonam Yeshey 2 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Tshering Tashi · b Sonam Yeshey | 39 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 130.00 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasirnot out 2 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 42* | 20 | 2 | 4 | 210.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Wangchuk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorji0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| J Singye0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Tashi Dorji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Anand Mongar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Naveena Shetty, 0.4) · 2-34 (Asif Ali, 4.4) · 3-96 (Fiaz Ahmed, 13.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 62/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 73/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 75/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 83/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 88/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 97/3 |
| 15 | 18 | 115/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 119/3 |
| 17 | 14 | 133/3 |
| 18 | 18 | 151/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 160/3 |
| 20 | 15 | 175/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.