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Bahrain tour of Bhutan · 2025/26 · Men
12 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 91%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 86% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 14%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namgay Thinleycaught · Imran Khan (5) · Imran Anwar 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Imran Khan (5) · b Imran Anwar | 28 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 186.67 |
| R Limbucaught · Asif Javed · Asif Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asif Javed · b Asif Ali | 27 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 87.10 |
| Tshering Tashicaught · Asif Shaikh · Asif Javed 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asif Shaikh · b Asif Javed | 15 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 71.43 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorjirun out · Asif Javed · Asif Javed 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Asif Javed | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 118.75 |
| J Singyecaught and bowled · Asif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Asif Javed | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Imran Khan (5) · b Asif Javed |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| T Wangchuklbw · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ali Dawood | 12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Gakul Ghalleynot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 15 | 3 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Khan (5)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Shaikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Junaid Aziz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-35 (Namgay Thinley, 4.0) · 2-73 (R Limbu, 11.0) · 3-73 (Tshering Tashi, 11.1) · 4-73 (J Singye, 11.3) · 5-75 (Thinley Jamtsho, 12.0) · 6-100 (Ranjung Mikyo Dorji, 16.0) · 7-133 (T Wangchuk, 20.0)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 59/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 69/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 73/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 75/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 82/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 90/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 94/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 100/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 108/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 118/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 128/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 133/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.