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Zimbabwe tour of Ireland · 2024 · Men
25 Jul 2024 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joylord Gumbiecaught · Curtis Campher · Barry McCarthy 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Curtis Campher · b Barry McCarthy | 49 | 99 | 7 | 0 | 49.49 |
| Prince Masvaurecaught · Lorcan Tucker · Curtis Campher 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Curtis Campher | 74 | 152 | 8 | 0 | 48.68 |
| Dion Myersbowled · Barry McCarthy 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Barry McCarthy | 10 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 41.67 |
 Craig Ervinecaught · Andrew McBrine · Craig Young0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew McBrine · b Craig Young | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 15.63 |
 Sean Williamscaught · Paul Stirling · Andrew McBrine5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Stirling · b Andrew McBrine | 35 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 85.37 |
|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Lorcan Tucker · Mark Adair 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Mark Adair | 8 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
 Clive Madandecaught · Craig Young · Andrew McBrine0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Young · b Andrew McBrine | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · Paul Stirling · Andrew McBrine 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Stirling · b Andrew McBrine | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Richard Ngaravacaught · Matthew Humphreys · Mark Adair 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Humphreys · b Mark Adair | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivanganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 35.00 |
|---|
| Tendai Chataracaught · Lorcan Tucker · Barry McCarthy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Barry McCarthy | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Adair1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 49 | 2 | 2.72 | 2 | 0 |
| Barry McCarthy5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.3 | 5 | 42 | 3 | 2.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Young1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 2.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Curtis Campher2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 2 | 37 | 3 | 2.85 | 0 | 0 |
1-97 (Joylord Gumbie, 31.0) · 2-121 (Dion Myers, 38.3) · 3-143 (Craig Ervine, 48.0) · 4-167 (Prince Masvaure, 55.1) · 5-193 (Sean Williams, 62.1) · 6-193 (Clive Madande, 62.2) · 7-194 (Brian Bennett, 63.3) · 8-198 (Blessing Muzarabani, 64.5) · 9-206 (Richard Ngarava, 68.0) · 10-210 (Tendai Chatara, 71.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 15/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 17/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 30/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 31/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 35/0 |
| 11 | 1 | 36/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 40/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 45/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 45/0 |
| 15 | 9 | 54/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 56/0 |
| 17 | 5 | 61/0 |
| 18 | 0 | 61/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 61/0 |
| 20 | 5 | 66/0 |
| 21 | 4 | 70/0 |
| 22 | 5 | 75/0 |
| 23 | 1 | 76/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 76/0 |
| 25 | 2 | 78/0 |
| 26 | 4 | 82/0 |
| 27 | 3 | 85/0 |
| 28 | 6 | 91/0 |
| 29 | 0 | 91/0 |
| 30 | 1 | 92/0 |
| 31 | 5 | 97/1 |
| 32 | 1 | 98/1 |
| 33 | 1 | 99/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 102/1 |
| 35 | 1 | 103/1 |
| 36 | 11 | 114/1 |
| 37 | 5 | 119/1 |
| 38 | 1 | 120/1 |
| 39 | 3 | 123/2 |
| 40 | 1 | 124/2 |
| 41 | 4 | 128/2 |
| 42 | 1 | 129/2 |
| 43 | 0 | 129/2 |
| 44 | 2 | 131/2 |
| 45 | 3 | 134/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 135/2 |
| 47 | 6 | 141/2 |
| 48 | 2 | 143/3 |
| 49 | 3 | 146/3 |
| 50 | 7 | 153/3 |
| 51 | 0 | 153/3 |
| 52 | 1 | 154/3 |
| 53 | 2 | 156/3 |
| 54 | 6 | 162/3 |
| 55 | 5 | 167/3 |
| 56 | 0 | 167/4 |
| 57 | 12 | 179/4 |
| 58 | 6 | 185/4 |
| 59 | 1 | 186/4 |
| 60 | 1 | 187/4 |
| 61 | 4 | 191/4 |
| 62 | 2 | 193/4 |
| 63 | 0 | 193/6 |
| 64 | 1 | 194/7 |
| 65 | 4 | 198/8 |
| 66 | 2 | 200/8 |
| 67 | 2 | 202/8 |
| 68 | 4 | 206/9 |
| 69 | 1 | 207/9 |
| 70 | 1 | 208/9 |
| 71 | 1 | 209/9 |
| 72 | 1 | 210/10 |
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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