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Zimbabwe tour of Ireland · 2024 · Men
25 Jul 2024 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 25 Jul 2024, Zimbabwe played Ireland at Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast. Recorded result: Ireland won by 4 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.