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Zimbabwe tour of Ireland · 2024 · Men
25 Jul 2024 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joylord Gumbiecaught · Andrew Balbirnie · Craig Young 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Balbirnie · b Craig Young | 24 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Prince Masvaurecaught · Lorcan Tucker · Barry McCarthy 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Barry McCarthy | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Dion Myerslbw · Mark Adair 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mark Adair | 57 | 142 | 4 | 0 | 40.14 |
 Craig Ervinelbw · Mark Adair0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mark Adair | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 31.82 |
| caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Craig Young |
| 40 |
| 65 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 61.54 |
| Brian Bennettcaught · Peter Moor · Matthew Humphreys 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Peter Moor · b Matthew Humphreys | 10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
 Clive Madandecaught · Barry McCarthy · Andrew McBrine1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Barry McCarthy · b Andrew McBrine | 10 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · Harry Tector · Andrew McBrine 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Tector · b Andrew McBrine | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Richard Ngaravacaught · Lorcan Tucker · Andrew McBrine 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Andrew McBrine | 11 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangacaught · Mark Adair · Andrew McBrine 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Adair · b Andrew McBrine | 6 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 17.14 |
|---|
| Tendai Chataranot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 11 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Adair1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 42 | 2 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Barry McCarthy2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 2.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Young2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 37 | 2 | 3.70 | 1 | 0 |
| Curtis Campher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 6 | 38 | 4 | 1.65 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Humphreys0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Joylord Gumbie, 12.4) · 2-38 (Prince Masvaure, 13.1) · 3-66 (Craig Ervine, 23.2) · 4-134 (Sean Williams, 41.4) · 5-151 (Brian Bennett, 48.0) · 6-174 (Clive Madande, 58.4) · 7-174 (Dion Myers, 59.2) · 8-182 (Blessing Muzarabani, 62.1) · 9-195 (Richard Ngarava, 68.1) · 10-197 (Tanaka Chivanga, 71.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 17/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 24/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 38/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 38/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 45/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 57/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 66/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 66/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 71/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 79/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 82/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 85/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 89/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 90/3 |
| 30 | 6 | 96/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 103/3 |
| 33 | 0 | 103/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 103/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 105/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 108/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 111/3 |
| 38 | 2 | 113/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 116/3 |
| 40 | 15 | 131/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 133/3 |
| 42 | 6 | 139/4 |
| 43 | 0 | 139/4 |
| 44 | 1 | 140/4 |
| 45 | 2 | 142/4 |
| 46 | 2 | 144/4 |
| 47 | 2 | 146/4 |
| 48 | 5 | 151/5 |
| 49 | 1 | 152/5 |
| 50 | 1 | 153/5 |
| 51 | 0 | 153/5 |
| 52 | 5 | 158/5 |
| 53 | 0 | 158/5 |
| 54 | 3 | 161/5 |
| 55 | 4 | 165/5 |
| 56 | 2 | 167/5 |
| 57 | 5 | 172/5 |
| 58 | 1 | 173/5 |
| 59 | 1 | 174/6 |
| 60 | 4 | 178/7 |
| 61 | 0 | 178/7 |
| 62 | 4 | 182/7 |
| 63 | 2 | 184/8 |
| 64 | 4 | 188/8 |
| 65 | 1 | 189/8 |
| 66 | 0 | 189/8 |
| 67 | 1 | 190/8 |
| 68 | 5 | 195/8 |
| 69 | 1 | 196/9 |
| 70 | 1 | 197/9 |
| 71 | 0 | 197/10 |
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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