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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
1 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 70%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Hong Kong: 11% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizakat Khanlbw · Muhammad Adil 7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Adil | 40 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Anshuman Rathrun out · Junaid Aziz · Shujaat Rasool 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Junaid Aziz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Babar Hayatnot out 6 fours · 7 sixes | not out | 93* | 48 | 6 | 7 | 193.75 |
| S Mathurnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 24* | 21 | 1 | 1 | 114.29 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abid Ullah Shah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls |
|---|
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| 41 |
| 0 |
| 13.67 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Shujaat Rasool0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Sameer Yousuf0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 4 | 0 |
|---|
| Abdullah Mohd Yousaf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Yousif Wali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
|---|
| Muhammad Adil0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Junaid Aziz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-12 (Anshuman Rath, 1.4) · 2-88 (Nizakat Khan, 8.1)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 20 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 18 | 71/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 79/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 88/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 92/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 98/2 |
| 11 | 22 | 120/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 135/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 141/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 151/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 159/2 |
| 16 | 16 | 175/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.