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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
1 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 70%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Hong Kong: 11% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulla Pervaizcaught · S Mathur · Nasrulla Rana 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · S Mathur · b Nasrulla Rana | 40 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 153.85 |
| Numan Yousufstumped · S Mathur · Yasim Murtaza 6 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · S Mathur · b Yasim Murtaza | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Junaid Azizlbw · Yasim Murtaza 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Yasim Murtaza | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Mohammed Sameercaught · S Mathur · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Mathur · b Ehsan Khan | 10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 76.92 |
| Abdullah Mohd Yousafcaught · Shahid Wasif · Nasrulla Rana 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahid Wasif · b Nasrulla Rana | 12 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| caught · Babar Hayat · b Anas Khan |
| 20 |
| 12 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 166.67 |
| Sameer Yousufbowled · Nasrulla Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nasrulla Rana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shujaat Rasoolcaught · Anshuman Rath · Hassan Khan Mohammad 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Anshuman Rath · b Hassan Khan Mohammad | 17 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 141.67 |
|---|
| Abid Ullah Shahnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 14* | 5 | 0 | 2 | 280.00 |
|---|
| Yousif Walirun out · S Mathur · Hassan Khan Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Mathur | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anas Khan0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 14.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 13.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Hassan Khan Mohammad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 12.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-70 (Abdulla Pervaiz, 6.5) · 2-78 (Junaid Aziz, 8.0) · 3-105 (Numan Yousuf, 11.4) · 4-105 (Mohammed Sameer, 12.2) · 5-136 (Muhammad Adil, 16.0) · 6-138 (Abdullah Mohd Yousaf, 16.3) · 7-152 (Sameer Yousuf, 18.4) · 8-172 (Shujaat Rasool, 19.4) · 9-173 (Yousif Wali, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 47/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 61/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 64/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 71/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 78/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 85/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 15 | 103/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 105/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 109/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 115/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 120/4 |
| 16 | 16 | 136/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 141/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 149/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 159/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 173/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.