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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Hong Kong) · 2025 · Men
9 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 50%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Kuwait: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinto Antocaught · Aizaz Khan · Ayush Shukla 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aizaz Khan · b Ayush Shukla | 16 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 123.08 |
| Ravija Sandaruwanrun out · Babar Hayat, Aizaz Khan · Aizaz Khan 5 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Babar Hayat, Aizaz Khan | 49 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 136.11 |
| Usman Patelstumped · Zeeshan Ali · Yasim Murtaza 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Zeeshan Ali · b Yasim Murtaza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Meet Bhavsarcaught · Nizakat Khan · Aizaz Khan 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nizakat Khan · b Aizaz Khan | 42 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 150.00 |
| Mohomad Aslamcaught · Anshuman Rath · Yasim Murtaza 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Anshuman Rath · b Yasim Murtaza | 55 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 189.66 |
| Bilal Tahirnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Umarcaught · Ehsan Khan · Yasim Murtaza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ehsan Khan · b Yasim Murtaza | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nimish Lathiefnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Ateeq Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-39 (Clinto Anto, 5.0) · 2-65 (Usman Patel, 7.3) · 3-72 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 8.4) · 4-156 (Meet Bhavsar, 16.4) · 5-173 (Mohomad Aslam, 18.3) · 6-173 (Muhammad Umar, 18.4)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 74/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 88/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 96/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 104/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 109/3 |
| 14 | 18 | 127/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 140/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 152/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 161/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 167/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 180/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.