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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Hong Kong) · 2025 · Men
9 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 50%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Kuwait: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeeshan Alicaught · Usman Patel · Mohamed Shafeeq 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Patel · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Mirza Ahmed · Mohamed Shafeeq 7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Mirza Ahmed · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 76 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 158.33 |
| Nizakat Khanstumped · Usman Patel · Yasin Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Usman Patel · b Yasin Patel | 15 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 93.75 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Clinto Anto · Nimish Lathief 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Clinto Anto · b Nimish Lathief | 40 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 129.03 |
| Kalhan Challurun out · Clinto Anto, Mohamed Shafeeq · Mohamed Shafeeq 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Clinto Anto, Mohamed Shafeeq | 28 | 20 | 2 | 1 |
| 140.00 |
| Aizaz Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Yasim Murtazanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Anudeep Chenthamara0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 9.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nimish Lathief0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 7.71 | 3 | 0 |
1-4 (Zeeshan Ali, 0.3) · 2-34 (Nizakat Khan, 4.3) · 3-105 (Babar Hayat, 12.3) · 4-171 (Kalhan Challu, 19.2) · 5-174 (Anshuman Rath, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 13 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 81/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 92/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 103/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 108/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 112/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 117/3 |
| 16 | 16 | 133/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 145/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 153/3 |
| 19 | 16 | 169/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 175/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.