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Photo: Dave Morton
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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 52%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 2% to 85% during the match (Lancashire: 15% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hollie Armitagecaught and bowled · Darcey Carter4 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Darcey Carter | 30 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Katherine Fraserbowled · O Brinsden 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b O Brinsden | 17 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 94.44 |
| Emily Windsorstumped · S Thomas · VV Weerappuli 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · S Thomas · b VV Weerappuli | 27 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Bess Heathcaught · Fi Morris · Darcey Carter 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fi Morris · b Darcey Carter | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 138.46 |
 |
| caught · Danielle Collins · b VV Weerappuli |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Mia Rogerslbw · Sophie Morris 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sophie Morris | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Emma Marlownot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Grace Thompsonnot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 28* | 12 | 2 | 2 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kate Cross0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophie Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| O Brinsden0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| VV Weerappuli0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Darcey Carter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Fi Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Katherine Fraser, 5.1) · 2-55 (Hollie Armitage, 9.4) · 3-83 (Bess Heath, 13.2) · 4-90 (Heather Graham, 14.4) · 5-95 (Mia Rogers, 16.0) · 6-97 (Emily Windsor, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 60/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 68/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 73/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 83/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 85/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 95/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 98/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 110/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 118/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 132/6 |
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Collins: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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