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Photo: Dave Morton
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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 52%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 2% to 85% during the match (Lancashire: 15% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evelyn Jonescaught · Hollie Armitage · Heather Graham0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hollie Armitage · b Heather Graham | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Meg Lanningbowled · Katherine Fraser2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Katherine Fraser | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
 Danielle Collinscaught · Trudy Johnson · Sophia Turner2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Trudy Johnson · b Sophia Turner | 20 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Darcey Cartercaught · Emma Marlow · Heather Graham 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emma Marlow · b Heather Graham |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| OR Cunliffecaught · Heather Graham · Katie Levick 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Heather Graham · b Katie Levick | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| S Thomasnot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 55* | 38 | 6 | 1 | 144.74 |
|---|
 Fi Morrisbowled · Sophia Turner0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophia Turner | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Kate Crossnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 21 | 2 | 1 | 109.52 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trudy Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Katie Levick0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sophia Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Thompson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Evelyn Jones, 1.4) · 2-29 (Meg Lanning, 4.0) · 3-37 (Darcey Carter, 5.2) · 4-43 (OR Cunliffe, 7.2) · 5-51 (Danielle Collins, 9.0) · 6-75 (Fi Morris, 12.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 40/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 48/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/5 |
| 10 | 11 | 62/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 65/5 |
| 12 | 8 | 73/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 75/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 80/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 89/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 100/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 109/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 116/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 129/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 135/6 |
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Collins: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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