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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan tour of Australia · 2023/24 · Men
3 Jan 2024 · Test
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Steve Smith · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Steve Smith · Mitchell Marsh3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Mitchell Marsh | 35 | 70 | 3 | 0 | 50.00 |
 |
| lbw · b Pat Cummins |
| 26 |
| 40 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 65.00 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Alex Carey · Pat Cummins0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Pat Cummins | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Josh Hazlewood · Pat Cummins10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Josh Hazlewood · b Pat Cummins | 88 | 103 | 10 | 2 | 85.44 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Travis Head · Mitchell Starc 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Travis Head · b Mitchell Starc | 53 | 67 | 8 | 0 | 79.10 |
|---|
| Sajid Khancaught · Nathan Lyon · Pat Cummins 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Lyon · b Pat Cummins | 15 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 65.22 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalcaught · Mitchell Starc · Nathan Lyon 9 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Nathan Lyon | 82 | 97 | 9 | 4 | 84.54 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · Mitchell Starc · Pat Cummins0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Pat Cummins | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mir Hamzanot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 43 | 1 | 0 | 16.28 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 75 | 2 | 4.69 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 65 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 61 | 5 | 3.39 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.1 | 0 | 74 | 1 | 4.31 | 0 | 0 |
 Mitchell Marsh1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 3.86 | 0 | 1 |
 Marnus Labuschagne1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Abdullah Shafique, 0.2) · 2-4 (Saim Ayub, 1.2) · 3-39 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 10.5) · 4-47 (Saud Shakeel, 14.3) · 5-96 (Shan Masood, 29.3) · 6-190 (Mohammad Rizwan, 46.2) · 7-220 (Sajid Khan, 52.2) · 8-226 (Salman Ali Agha, 53.4) · 9-227 (Hasan Ali, 55.0) · 10-313 (Aamer Jamal, 77.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 9/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 34/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 39/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 40/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 43/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 45/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 54/4 |
| 18 | 0 | 54/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 56/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 62/4 |
| 21 | 6 | 68/4 |
| 22 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 23 | 0 | 73/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 75/4 |
| 25 | 5 | 80/4 |
| 26 | 10 | 90/4 |
| 27 | 4 | 94/4 |
| 28 | 1 | 95/4 |
| 29 | 0 | 95/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 98/5 |
| 31 | 8 | 106/5 |
| 32 | 0 | 106/5 |
| 33 | 1 | 107/5 |
| 34 | 1 | 108/5 |
| 35 | 5 | 113/5 |
| 36 | 9 | 122/5 |
| 37 | 9 | 131/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 135/5 |
| 39 | 6 | 141/5 |
| 40 | 9 | 150/5 |
| 41 | 5 | 155/5 |
| 42 | 11 | 166/5 |
| 43 | 7 | 173/5 |
| 44 | 7 | 180/5 |
| 45 | 6 | 186/5 |
| 46 | 4 | 190/5 |
| 47 | 7 | 197/6 |
| 48 | 2 | 199/6 |
| 49 | 5 | 204/6 |
| 50 | 5 | 209/6 |
| 51 | 2 | 211/6 |
| 52 | 9 | 220/6 |
| 53 | 4 | 224/7 |
| 54 | 2 | 226/8 |
| 55 | 1 | 227/9 |
| 56 | 1 | 228/9 |
| 57 | 5 | 233/9 |
| 58 | 5 | 238/9 |
| 59 | 13 | 251/9 |
| 60 | 1 | 252/9 |
| 61 | 1 | 253/9 |
| 62 | 1 | 254/9 |
| 63 | 7 | 261/9 |
| 64 | 1 | 262/9 |
| 65 | 1 | 263/9 |
| 66 | 1 | 264/9 |
| 67 | 0 | 264/9 |
| 68 | 0 | 264/9 |
| 69 | 8 | 272/9 |
| 70 | 13 | 285/9 |
| 71 | 2 | 287/9 |
| 72 | 1 | 288/9 |
| 73 | 1 | 289/9 |
| 74 | 11 | 300/9 |
| 75 | 1 | 301/9 |
| 76 | 11 | 312/9 |
| 77 | 1 | 313/9 |
| 78 | 0 | 313/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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