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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan tour of Australia · 2023/24 · Men
3 Jan 2024 · Test
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Warnercaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Salman Ali Agha4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Salman Ali Agha | 34 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Usman Khawajacaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Aamer Jamal4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Aamer Jamal | 47 | 143 | 4 | 0 | 32.87 |
 Marnus Labuschagnebowled · Salman Ali Agha6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Salman Ali Agha | 60 | 147 | 6 | 0 | 40.82 |
| caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Mir Hamza |
| 38 |
| 86 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 44.19 |
 Travis Headlbw · Aamer Jamal0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aamer Jamal | 10 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 34.48 |
|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Shan Masood · Aamer Jamal6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shan Masood · b Aamer Jamal | 54 | 113 | 6 | 0 | 47.79 |
|---|
 Alex Careybowled · Sajid Khan3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sajid Khan | 38 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 65.52 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminslbw · Aamer Jamal0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aamer Jamal | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyoncaught · Saud Shakeel · Aamer Jamal1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saud Shakeel · b Aamer Jamal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Josh Hazlewoodcaught · Salman Ali Agha · Aamer Jamal0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Aamer Jamal | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajid Khan5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 5 | 73 | 1 | 2.81 | 0 | 0 |
 Mir Hamza9 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 9 | 53 | 1 | 2.52 | 1 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 2.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamer Jamal2 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 21.4 | 2 | 69 | 6 | 3.18 | 1 | 2 |
| Salman Ali Agha3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 3 | 43 | 2 | 2.15 | 0 | 0 |
1-70 (David Warner, 24.3) · 2-108 (Usman Khawaja, 43.3) · 3-187 (Steve Smith, 73.2) · 4-187 (Marnus Labuschagne, 74.2) · 5-205 (Travis Head, 83.2) · 6-289 (Alex Carey, 106.2) · 7-293 (Mitchell Marsh, 107.4) · 8-293 (Pat Cummins, 108.0) · 9-299 (Nathan Lyon, 109.2) · 10-299 (Josh Hazlewood, 109.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 24/0 |
| 13 | 7 | 31/0 |
| 14 | 4 | 35/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 38/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 39/0 |
| 17 | 0 | 39/0 |
| 18 | 3 | 42/0 |
| 19 | 5 | 47/0 |
| 20 | 8 | 55/0 |
| 21 | 4 | 59/0 |
| 22 | 6 | 65/0 |
| 23 | 4 | 69/0 |
| 24 | 1 | 70/0 |
| 25 | 1 | 71/1 |
| 26 | 0 | 71/1 |
| 27 | 1 | 72/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 75/1 |
| 29 | 2 | 77/1 |
| 30 | 1 | 78/1 |
| 31 | 4 | 82/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 82/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 84/1 |
| 34 | 1 | 85/1 |
| 35 | 2 | 87/1 |
| 36 | 5 | 92/1 |
| 37 | 3 | 95/1 |
| 38 | 2 | 97/1 |
| 39 | 3 | 100/1 |
| 40 | 5 | 105/1 |
| 41 | 0 | 105/1 |
| 42 | 1 | 106/1 |
| 43 | 1 | 107/1 |
| 44 | 5 | 112/2 |
| 45 | 1 | 113/2 |
| 46 | 0 | 113/2 |
| 47 | 3 | 116/2 |
| 48 | 5 | 121/2 |
| 49 | 0 | 121/2 |
| 50 | 0 | 121/2 |
| 51 | 0 | 121/2 |
| 52 | 0 | 121/2 |
| 53 | 0 | 121/2 |
| 54 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 55 | 8 | 134/2 |
| 56 | 1 | 135/2 |
| 57 | 8 | 143/2 |
| 58 | 4 | 147/2 |
| 59 | 2 | 149/2 |
| 60 | 2 | 151/2 |
| 61 | 2 | 153/2 |
| 62 | 5 | 158/2 |
| 63 | 3 | 161/2 |
| 64 | 3 | 164/2 |
| 65 | 2 | 166/2 |
| 66 | 1 | 167/2 |
| 67 | 1 | 168/2 |
| 68 | 4 | 172/2 |
| 69 | 0 | 172/2 |
| 70 | 6 | 178/2 |
| 71 | 4 | 182/2 |
| 72 | 3 | 185/2 |
| 73 | 2 | 187/2 |
| 74 | 0 | 187/3 |
| 75 | 1 | 188/4 |
| 76 | 0 | 188/4 |
| 77 | 0 | 188/4 |
| 78 | 6 | 194/4 |
| 79 | 2 | 196/4 |
| 80 | 3 | 199/4 |
| 81 | 0 | 199/4 |
| 82 | 2 | 201/4 |
| 83 | 4 | 205/4 |
| 84 | 4 | 209/5 |
| 85 | 2 | 211/5 |
| 86 | 0 | 211/5 |
| 87 | 5 | 216/5 |
| 88 | 3 | 219/5 |
| 89 | 1 | 220/5 |
| 90 | 4 | 224/5 |
| 91 | 5 | 229/5 |
| 92 | 7 | 236/5 |
| 93 | 7 | 243/5 |
| 94 | 9 | 252/5 |
| 95 | 1 | 253/5 |
| 96 | 6 | 259/5 |
| 97 | 3 | 262/5 |
| 98 | 6 | 268/5 |
| 99 | 0 | 268/5 |
| 100 | 6 | 274/5 |
| 101 | 2 | 276/5 |
| 102 | 3 | 279/5 |
| 103 | 2 | 281/5 |
| 104 | 6 | 287/5 |
| 105 | 0 | 287/5 |
| 106 | 2 | 289/5 |
| 107 | 0 | 289/6 |
| 108 | 4 | 293/8 |
| 109 | 2 | 295/8 |
| 110 | 4 | 299/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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