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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan tour of Australia · 2023/24 · Men
3 Jan 2024 · Test
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquebowled · Mitchell Starc0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saim Ayublbw · Nathan Lyon 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Nathan Lyon | 33 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 62.26 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Alex Carey · Josh Hazlewood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Mohammad Babar Azam |
| caught · Alex Carey · b Travis Head |
| 23 |
| 52 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 44.23 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Steve Smith · Josh Hazlewood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Josh Hazlewood | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 10.53 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · David Warner · Nathan Lyon1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Warner · b Nathan Lyon | 28 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 49.12 |
|---|
| Sajid Khanbowled · Josh Hazlewood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · David Warner · Josh Hazlewood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Warner · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalcaught · Travis Head · Pat Cummins 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Travis Head · b Pat Cummins | 18 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 38.30 |
|---|
 Hasan Alibowled · Nathan Lyon0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Lyon | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
 Mir Hamzanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 1.78 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 3.43 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.1 | 2 | 36 | 3 | 2.10 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 3.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Abdullah Shafique, 1.0) · 2-1 (Shan Masood, 1.2) · 3-58 (Saim Ayub, 17.4) · 4-60 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 20.1) · 5-67 (Saud Shakeel, 24.1) · 6-67 (Sajid Khan, 24.3) · 7-67 (Salman Ali Agha, 24.5) · 8-109 (Mohammad Rizwan, 39.4) · 9-109 (Aamer Jamal, 40.1) · 10-115 (Hasan Ali, 43.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 7/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 20/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 27/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 27/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 35/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 41/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 48/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 52/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 56/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 60/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 63/4 |
| 22 | 0 | 63/4 |
| 23 | 3 | 66/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 67/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 67/7 |
| 26 | 1 | 68/7 |
| 27 | 1 | 69/7 |
| 28 | 2 | 71/7 |
| 29 | 4 | 75/7 |
| 30 | 1 | 76/7 |
| 31 | 1 | 77/7 |
| 32 | 3 | 80/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 81/7 |
| 34 | 1 | 82/7 |
| 35 | 8 | 90/7 |
| 36 | 6 | 96/7 |
| 37 | 4 | 100/7 |
| 38 | 4 | 104/7 |
| 39 | 3 | 107/7 |
| 40 | 2 | 109/8 |
| 41 | 4 | 113/9 |
| 42 | 1 | 114/9 |
| 43 | 1 | 115/9 |
| 44 | 0 | 115/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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