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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
3 Jan 2025 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shan Masoodcaught · David Bedingham · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Kagiso Rabada | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Kyle Verreynne · Kwena Maphaka7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Kwena Maphaka | 58 | 127 | 7 | 0 | 45.67 |
| Kamran Ghulambowled · Marco Jansen 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marco Jansen | 12 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 70.59 |
 |
| caught · David Bedingham · b Kagiso Rabada |
| 0 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Mohammad Rizwanbowled · Wiaan Mulder2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Wiaan Mulder | 46 | 82 | 2 | 1 | 56.10 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghastumped · Kyle Verreynne · Keshav Maharaj 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kyle Verreynne · b Keshav Maharaj | 19 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 86.36 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalcaught · David Bedingham · Kagiso Rabada 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Kagiso Rabada | 15 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadcaught · Tristan Stubbs · Kwena Maphaka 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Kwena Maphaka | 14 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 48.28 |
|---|
 Mir Hamzacaught · David Bedingham · Keshav Maharaj1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Keshav Maharaj | 13 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbasnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 13 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada3 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 15.0 | 3 | 55 | 3 | 3.67 | 0 | 4 |
 Marco Jansen4 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 12.0 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Kwena Maphaka1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.2 | 1 | 43 | 2 | 5.16 | 0 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder0 maidens · 0 wides · 6 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 6 |
 Keshav Maharaj2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Shan Masood, 1.0) · 2-18 (Kamran Ghulam, 6.0) · 3-20 (Saud Shakeel, 8.4) · 4-118 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 34.5) · 5-144 (Mohammad Rizwan, 39.2) · 6-155 (Salman Ali Agha, 43.4) · 7-172 (Aamer Jamal, 50.1) · 8-194 (Mir Hamza, 53.5) · 9-194 (Khurram Shehzad, 54.2)
Absent hurt: Saim Ayub
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 18/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 20/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 20/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 22/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 24/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 24/3 |
| 12 | 0 | 24/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 31/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 39/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 47/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 55/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 56/3 |
| 21 | 8 | 64/3 |
| 22 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 70/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 72/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 75/3 |
| 28 | 12 | 87/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 91/3 |
| 30 | 5 | 96/3 |
| 31 | 8 | 104/3 |
| 32 | 3 | 107/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 111/3 |
| 34 | 5 | 116/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 118/4 |
| 36 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 37 | 8 | 130/4 |
| 38 | 2 | 132/4 |
| 39 | 11 | 143/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 144/5 |
| 41 | 6 | 150/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 154/5 |
| 43 | 1 | 155/5 |
| 44 | 0 | 155/6 |
| 45 | 0 | 155/6 |
| 46 | 0 | 155/6 |
| 47 | 7 | 162/6 |
| 48 | 4 | 166/6 |
| 49 | 3 | 169/6 |
| 50 | 3 | 172/6 |
| 51 | 2 | 174/7 |
| 52 | 2 | 176/7 |
| 53 | 15 | 191/7 |
| 54 | 3 | 194/8 |
| 55 | 0 | 194/9 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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