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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
3 Jan 2025 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shan Masoodlbw · Kwena Maphaka17 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kwena Maphaka | 145 | 251 | 17 | 0 | 57.77 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · David Bedingham · Marco Jansen10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Marco Jansen | 81 | 124 | 10 | 0 | 65.32 |
| Khurram Shehzadcaught · Keshav Maharaj · Marco Jansen 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keshav Maharaj · b Marco Jansen | 18 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 38.30 |
| Kamran Ghulambowled · Kagiso Rabada 4 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Kagiso Rabada |
| 28 |
| 42 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Saud Shakeelcaught · Aiden Markram · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Kagiso Rabada | 23 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 45.10 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Temba Bavuma · Keshav Maharaj2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Temba Bavuma · b Keshav Maharaj | 41 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 54.67 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Aiden Markram · Keshav Maharaj 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Keshav Maharaj | 48 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 50.53 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalcaught · David Bedingham · Keshav Maharaj 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Keshav Maharaj | 34 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 79.07 |
|---|
 Mir Hamzacaught · Kwena Maphaka · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kwena Maphaka · b Kagiso Rabada | 16 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbasnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 19 · wides: 0 · noballs: 18 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 0 wides · 13 no-balls | 25.1 | 2 | 115 | 3 | 4.57 | 0 | 13 |
 Marco Jansen0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 24.0 | 0 | 101 | 2 | 4.21 | 0 | 2 |
 Wiaan Mulder1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 38 | 0 | 3.17 | 0 | 3 |
| Kwena Maphaka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 3.62 | 0 | 0 |
 Keshav Maharaj5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 45.0 | 5 | 137 | 3 | 3.04 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-205 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 46.2) · 2-235 (Khurram Shehzad, 58.1) · 3-278 (Kamran Ghulam, 67.0) · 4-329 (Saud Shakeel, 83.0) · 5-329 (Shan Masood, 83.3) · 6-417 (Mohammad Rizwan, 109.2) · 7-441 (Salman Ali Agha, 115.5) · 8-478 (Aamer Jamal, 121.3) · 9-478 (Mir Hamza, 122.1)
Absent hurt: Saim Ayub
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 35/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 44/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 45/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 47/0 |
| 11 | 7 | 54/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 57/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 61/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 63/0 |
| 15 | 7 | 70/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 74/0 |
| 17 | 6 | 80/0 |
| 18 | 5 | 85/0 |
| 19 | 6 | 91/0 |
| 20 | 5 | 96/0 |
| 21 | 0 | 96/0 |
| 22 | 11 | 107/0 |
| 23 | 0 | 107/0 |
| 24 | 5 | 112/0 |
| 25 | 3 | 115/0 |
| 26 | 4 | 119/0 |
| 27 | 1 | 120/0 |
| 28 | 8 | 128/0 |
| 29 | 3 | 131/0 |
| 30 | 4 | 135/0 |
| 31 | 5 | 140/0 |
| 32 | 3 | 143/0 |
| 33 | 0 | 143/0 |
| 34 | 3 | 146/0 |
| 35 | 6 | 152/0 |
| 36 | 4 | 156/0 |
| 37 | 5 | 161/0 |
| 38 | 8 | 169/0 |
| 39 | 5 | 174/0 |
| 40 | 5 | 179/0 |
| 41 | 1 | 180/0 |
| 42 | 7 | 187/0 |
| 43 | 7 | 194/0 |
| 44 | 1 | 195/0 |
| 45 | 9 | 204/0 |
| 46 | 1 | 205/0 |
| 47 | 1 | 206/1 |
| 48 | 1 | 207/1 |
| 49 | 6 | 213/1 |
| 50 | 1 | 214/1 |
| 51 | 5 | 219/1 |
| 52 | 5 | 224/1 |
| 53 | 1 | 225/1 |
| 54 | 1 | 226/1 |
| 55 | 1 | 227/1 |
| 56 | 1 | 228/1 |
| 57 | 3 | 231/1 |
| 58 | 4 | 235/1 |
| 59 | 8 | 243/2 |
| 60 | 1 | 244/2 |
| 61 | 5 | 249/2 |
| 62 | 2 | 251/2 |
| 63 | 5 | 256/2 |
| 64 | 6 | 262/2 |
| 65 | 7 | 269/2 |
| 66 | 2 | 271/2 |
| 67 | 7 | 278/3 |
| 68 | 2 | 280/3 |
| 69 | 0 | 280/3 |
| 70 | 5 | 285/3 |
| 71 | 6 | 291/3 |
| 72 | 3 | 294/3 |
| 73 | 2 | 296/3 |
| 74 | 5 | 301/3 |
| 75 | 6 | 307/3 |
| 76 | 2 | 309/3 |
| 77 | 3 | 312/3 |
| 78 | 1 | 313/3 |
| 79 | 4 | 317/3 |
| 80 | 4 | 321/3 |
| 81 | 5 | 326/3 |
| 82 | 2 | 328/3 |
| 83 | 1 | 329/4 |
| 84 | 1 | 330/5 |
| 85 | 1 | 331/5 |
| 86 | 2 | 333/5 |
| 87 | 7 | 340/5 |
| 88 | 6 | 346/5 |
| 89 | 2 | 348/5 |
| 90 | 4 | 352/5 |
| 91 | 4 | 356/5 |
| 92 | 3 | 359/5 |
| 93 | 1 | 360/5 |
| 94 | 5 | 365/5 |
| 95 | 1 | 366/5 |
| 96 | 5 | 371/5 |
| 97 | 2 | 373/5 |
| 98 | 4 | 377/5 |
| 99 | 5 | 382/5 |
| 100 | 2 | 384/5 |
| 101 | 8 | 392/5 |
| 102 | 1 | 393/5 |
| 103 | 5 | 398/5 |
| 104 | 0 | 398/5 |
| 105 | 1 | 399/5 |
| 106 | 7 | 406/5 |
| 107 | 3 | 409/5 |
| 108 | 6 | 415/5 |
| 109 | 2 | 417/5 |
| 110 | 4 | 421/6 |
| 111 | 3 | 424/6 |
| 112 | 1 | 425/6 |
| 113 | 7 | 432/6 |
| 114 | 5 | 437/6 |
| 115 | 4 | 441/6 |
| 116 | 0 | 441/7 |
| 117 | 4 | 445/7 |
| 118 | 5 | 450/7 |
| 119 | 7 | 457/7 |
| 120 | 5 | 462/7 |
| 121 | 9 | 471/7 |
| 122 | 7 | 478/8 |
| 123 | 0 | 478/9 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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