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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
10 Jan 2024 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 45%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Perth Scorchers: 0% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Usman Khawajacaught · Sam Whiteman · Jason Behrendorff3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Whiteman · b Jason Behrendorff | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 175.00 |
 Colin Munrobowled · Jason Behrendorff0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jason Behrendorff | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Josh Inglis · Lance Morris7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Lance Morris | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 136.36 |
 Matt Renshaw |
| caught · Jhye Richardson · b Ashton Agar |
| 18 |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
 Sam Billingsbowled · Jhye Richardson2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jhye Richardson | 37 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 176.19 |
|---|
| Paul Walterbowled · Ashton Agar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ashton Agar | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
 Michael Nesernot out7 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 64* | 30 | 7 | 3 | 213.33 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhye Richardson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Jason Behrendorff0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 11.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamish McKenzie0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Ashton Agar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Lance Morris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-15 (Usman Khawaja, 1.4) · 2-38 (Colin Munro, 3.5) · 3-72 (Matt Renshaw, 9.0) · 4-86 (Marnus Labuschagne, 10.2) · 5-91 (Paul Walter, 12.1) · 6-171 (Sam Billings, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 32/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 38/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 85/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 88/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 91/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 94/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 102/5 |
| 15 | 11 | 113/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 128/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 141/5 |
| 18 | 16 | 157/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 171/6 |
| 20 | 20 | 191/6 |
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Behrendorff: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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