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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
11 Jul 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographSurrey started on 43%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 12% to 98% during the match (The Blaze: 2% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Kellycaught · Ryana MacDonald-Gay · Kalea Moore 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryana MacDonald-Gay · b Kalea Moore | 12 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Georgia Elwisscaught · Alice Monaghan · Danielle Gregory1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alice Monaghan · b Danielle Gregory | 12 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Kathryn Brycenot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 53* | 55 | 5 | 0 | 96.36 |
| Sarah Brycecaught · Alice Davidson-Richards · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alice Davidson-Richards · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 21 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 95.45 |
 |
| caught · Alice Davidson-Richards · b Kalea Moore |
| 3 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 37.50 |
| Ella Claridgecaught · Phoebe Franklin · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phoebe Franklin · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Michaela Kirknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Monaghan0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 42.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Alice Davidson-Richards0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.80 | 2 | 1 |
| Alexa Stonehouse0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kalea Moore0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Phoebe Franklin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Danielle Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Grace Harris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Marie Kelly, 2.3) · 2-46 (Georgia Elwiss, 7.2) · 3-89 (Sarah Bryce, 14.3) · 4-105 (Heather Graham, 17.1) · 5-113 (Ella Claridge, 18.5)
Recorded target: 133 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 27/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 59/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 66/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 72/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 79/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 85/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 93/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 95/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 105/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 111/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 114/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 122/5 |
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Glenn: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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