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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
20 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 49%; Canada batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashyap Prajapaticaught · Shreyas Movva · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Kaleem Sana | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Aaron Johnson · Kaleem Sana 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaron Johnson · b Kaleem Sana | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
| Aaqib Ilyascaught · Harsh Thaker · Dillon Heyliger 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harsh Thaker · b Dillon Heyliger | 10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Zeeshan Maqsoodlbw · Harsh Thaker 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Harsh Thaker | 27 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 77.14 |
| PS Athavalecaught · Shreyas Movva · Dillon Heyliger 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyas Movva · b Dillon Heyliger | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Canada's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Kaleem Sana · b Ansh Patel |
| 30 |
| 46 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 65.22 |
| Shoaib Khanlbw · Saad Bin Zafar 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saad Bin Zafar | 24 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 82.76 |
|---|
| Mehran Khancaught · Navneet Dhaliwal · Akhil Kumar 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Navneet Dhaliwal · b Akhil Kumar | 37 | 37 | 2 | 3 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Fiaz Bhuttcaught · Ansh Patel · Dillon Heyliger 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ansh Patel · b Dillon Heyliger | 44 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 42 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Kaleemullahcaught · Nicholas Kirton · Dillon Heyliger 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicholas Kirton · b Dillon Heyliger | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 2.63 | 5 | 0 |
| Dillon Heyliger1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 42 | 4 | 5.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 3.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Akhil Kumar0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 3 | 1 |
| Ansh Patel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Saad Bin Zafar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Kashyap Prajapati, 1.0) · 2-16 (Aaqib Ilyas, 4.0) · 3-16 (Jatinder Singh, 5.0) · 4-17 (PS Athavale, 6.0) · 5-60 (Zeeshan Maqsood, 14.3) · 6-92 (Ayan Khan, 22.0) · 7-105 (Shoaib Khan, 24.1) · 8-160 (Mehran Khan, 34.0) · 9-217 (Fiaz Bhutt, 45.4) · 10-217 (Kaleemullah, 46.0)
Recorded target: 277 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 17/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 19/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 25/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 28/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 34/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 36/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 47/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 52/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 60/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 61/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 71/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 76/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 81/5 |
| 19 | 1 | 82/5 |
| 20 | 5 | 87/5 |
| 21 | 3 | 90/5 |
| 22 | 2 | 92/6 |
| 23 | 5 | 97/6 |
| 24 | 8 | 105/6 |
| 25 | 1 | 106/7 |
| 26 | 15 | 121/7 |
| 27 | 0 | 121/7 |
| 28 | 5 | 126/7 |
| 29 | 1 | 127/7 |
| 30 | 3 | 130/7 |
| 31 | 4 | 134/7 |
| 32 | 9 | 143/7 |
| 33 | 5 | 148/7 |
| 34 | 12 | 160/8 |
| 35 | 14 | 174/8 |
| 36 | 4 | 178/8 |
| 37 | 6 | 184/8 |
| 38 | 7 | 191/8 |
| 39 | 7 | 198/8 |
| 40 | 1 | 199/8 |
| 41 | 1 | 200/8 |
| 42 | 2 | 202/8 |
| 43 | 4 | 206/8 |
| 44 | 7 | 213/8 |
| 45 | 2 | 215/8 |
| 46 | 2 | 217/10 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
