OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
20 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 49%; Canada batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Johnsoncaught · Fiaz Bhutt · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fiaz Bhutt · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Navneet Dhaliwallbw · Kaleemullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kaleemullah | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 9.52 |
| Pargat Singhcaught · Shoaib Khan · Fiaz Bhutt 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shoaib Khan · b Fiaz Bhutt | 42 | 77 | 4 | 2 | 54.55 |
| Harsh Thakercaught · Ayan Khan · Fiaz Bhutt 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ayan Khan · b Fiaz Bhutt | 93 | 103 | 4 | 4 | 90.29 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught and bowled · Zeeshan Maqsood 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zeeshan Maqsood | 57 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 114.00 |
Canada's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Shakeel Ahmed |
| 3 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 37.50 |
 Saad Bin Zafarlbw · Kaleemullah4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kaleemullah | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 146.67 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligernot out 1 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 37* | 14 | 1 | 4 | 264.29 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sanarun out · Mehran Khan, Kaleemullah · Kaleemullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mehran Khan, Kaleemullah | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
| Akhil Kumarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaleemullah3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 31 | 2 | 3.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 8 | 0 |
| Fiaz Bhutt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 5.90 | 1 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Maqsood1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaqib Ilyas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Aaron Johnson, 0.1) · 2-14 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 8.0) · 3-80 (Pargat Singh, 25.5) · 4-193 (Nicholas Kirton, 39.5) · 5-208 (Shreyas Movva, 42.4) · 6-223 (Harsh Thaker, 44.1) · 7-258 (Saad Bin Zafar, 47.1) · 8-266 (Kaleem Sana, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 6/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 20/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 32/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 39/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 44/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 58/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 60/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 62/2 |
| 22 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 67/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 77/2 |
| 26 | 4 | 81/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 84/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 86/3 |
| 29 | 7 | 93/3 |
| 30 | 14 | 107/3 |
| 31 | 16 | 123/3 |
| 32 | 9 | 132/3 |
| 33 | 4 | 136/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 138/3 |
| 35 | 7 | 145/3 |
| 36 | 11 | 156/3 |
| 37 | 12 | 168/3 |
| 38 | 8 | 176/3 |
| 39 | 7 | 183/3 |
| 40 | 10 | 193/4 |
| 41 | 7 | 200/4 |
| 42 | 6 | 206/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 211/5 |
| 44 | 12 | 223/5 |
| 45 | 11 | 234/6 |
| 46 | 6 | 240/6 |
| 47 | 18 | 258/6 |
| 48 | 3 | 261/7 |
| 49 | 1 | 262/7 |
| 50 | 14 | 276/8 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
