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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
5 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 44%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 1% to 90% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 10% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughescaught · Hugh Weibgen · Xavier Bartlett 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hugh Weibgen · b Xavier Bartlett | 15 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Thomas Balkin · Oliver Patterson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Balkin · b Oliver Patterson | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Josh Philippecaught · James Peirson · Oliver Patterson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Peirson · b Oliver Patterson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Moisés Henriquescaught · Matthew Kuhnemann · Jack Wildermuth4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Kuhnemann · b Jack Wildermuth | 26 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 108.33 |
| Jordan Silkbowled · Matthew Kuhnemann 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Jack Edwardscaught · Nathan McSweeney · Matthew Kuhnemann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Joel Daviesnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 35* | 26 | 3 | 1 | 134.62 |
|---|
| Ben Manenticaught and bowled · Matt Renshaw 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Renshaw | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Hayden Kerrnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 27* | 25 | 1 | 1 | 108.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Oliver Patterson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.73 | 2 | 0 |
| Thomas Balkin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Wildermuth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Renshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 2.5) · 2-15 (Josh Philippe, 3.0) · 3-32 (Daniel Hughes, 5.5) · 4-47 (Jordan Silk, 8.5) · 5-47 (Jack Edwards, 9.0) · 6-53 (Moisés Henriques, 9.5) · 7-56 (Ben Manenti, 10.3)
Recorded target: 115 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 34/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 37/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 45/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 47/5 |
| 10 | 7 | 54/6 |
| 11 | 3 | 57/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 62/7 |
| 13 | 4 | 66/7 |
| 14 | 14 | 80/7 |
| 15 | 6 | 86/7 |
| 16 | 7 | 93/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 97/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 103/7 |
| 19 | 15 | 118/7 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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