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England Women tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Women
15 Dec 2024 · Test
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tammy Beaumontcaught · Suné Luus · Ayanda Hlubi4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Suné Luus · b Ayanda Hlubi | 21 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 58.33 |
| Maia Bouchiercaught · Suné Luus · Nonkululeko Mlaba 22 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Suné Luus · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 126 | 154 | 22 | 2 | 81.82 |
 Heather Knightlbw · Tumi Sekhukhune4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tumi Sekhukhune | 20 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 40.00 |
 |
| run out · Nonkululeko Mlaba |
| 128 |
| 145 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 88.28 |
 Danielle Wyattcaught · Sinalo Jafta · Nonkululeko Mlaba1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sinalo Jafta · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 12 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Amy Jonescaught · Marizanne Kapp · Nonkululeko Mlaba6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marizanne Kapp · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 39 | 85 | 6 | 0 | 45.88 |
|---|
 Charlie Deanbowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
 Sophie Ecclestonebowled · Ayanda Hlubi3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ayanda Hlubi | 21 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaybowled · Marizanne Kapp 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marizanne Kapp | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11.76 |
|---|
 Lauren Filernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Bellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marizanne Kapp2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 2.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayanda Hlubi3 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 3 | 40 | 2 | 3.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Annerie Dercksen2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 5.13 | 1 | 0 |
| Nadine de Klerk2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Tumi Sekhukhune0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 5.29 | 0 | 0 |
 Nonkululeko Mlaba2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 2 | 90 | 4 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Chloe Tryon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Suné Luus1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 1 | 78 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-53 (Tammy Beaumont, 12.0) · 2-103 (Heather Knight, 27.3) · 3-277 (Maia Bouchier, 56.1) · 4-299 (Danielle Wyatt, 62.1) · 5-357 (Nat Sciver-Brunt, 78.4) · 6-368 (Charlie Dean, 82.3) · 7-371 (Amy Jones, 84.4) · 8-391 (Ryana MacDonald-Gay, 90.5) · 9-395 (Sophie Ecclestone, 91.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 38/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 38/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 43/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 51/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 53/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 67/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 75/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 76/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 76/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 78/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 82/1 |
| 21 | 0 | 82/1 |
| 22 | 2 | 84/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 91/1 |
| 24 | 0 | 91/1 |
| 25 | 5 | 96/1 |
| 26 | 7 | 103/1 |
| 27 | 0 | 103/1 |
| 28 | 4 | 107/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 108/2 |
| 30 | 5 | 113/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 32 | 5 | 123/2 |
| 33 | 0 | 123/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 127/2 |
| 35 | 7 | 134/2 |
| 36 | 10 | 144/2 |
| 37 | 12 | 156/2 |
| 38 | 12 | 168/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 169/2 |
| 40 | 2 | 171/2 |
| 41 | 11 | 182/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 189/2 |
| 43 | 5 | 194/2 |
| 44 | 13 | 207/2 |
| 45 | 3 | 210/2 |
| 46 | 9 | 219/2 |
| 47 | 1 | 220/2 |
| 48 | 5 | 225/2 |
| 49 | 4 | 229/2 |
| 50 | 4 | 233/2 |
| 51 | 14 | 247/2 |
| 52 | 7 | 254/2 |
| 53 | 7 | 261/2 |
| 54 | 5 | 266/2 |
| 55 | 6 | 272/2 |
| 56 | 5 | 277/2 |
| 57 | 2 | 279/3 |
| 58 | 1 | 280/3 |
| 59 | 10 | 290/3 |
| 60 | 2 | 292/3 |
| 61 | 6 | 298/3 |
| 62 | 1 | 299/3 |
| 63 | 0 | 299/4 |
| 64 | 2 | 301/4 |
| 65 | 4 | 305/4 |
| 66 | 2 | 307/4 |
| 67 | 0 | 307/4 |
| 68 | 7 | 314/4 |
| 69 | 1 | 315/4 |
| 70 | 2 | 317/4 |
| 71 | 2 | 319/4 |
| 72 | 8 | 327/4 |
| 73 | 4 | 331/4 |
| 74 | 2 | 333/4 |
| 75 | 4 | 337/4 |
| 76 | 4 | 341/4 |
| 77 | 10 | 351/4 |
| 78 | 4 | 355/4 |
| 79 | 2 | 357/5 |
| 80 | 6 | 363/5 |
| 81 | 1 | 364/5 |
| 82 | 2 | 366/5 |
| 83 | 2 | 368/6 |
| 84 | 0 | 368/6 |
| 85 | 3 | 371/7 |
| 86 | 3 | 374/7 |
| 87 | 4 | 378/7 |
| 88 | 2 | 380/7 |
| 89 | 9 | 389/7 |
| 90 | 2 | 391/7 |
| 91 | 0 | 391/8 |
| 92 | 4 | 395/9 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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