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England Women tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Women
15 Dec 2024 · Test
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laura Wolvaardtlbw · Lauren Bell1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Bell | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Anne Boschlbw · Lauren Filer 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Filer | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Annerie Dercksencaught · Tammy Beaumont · Lauren Bell 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tammy Beaumont · b Lauren Bell | 9 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Suné Luusbowled · Lauren Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lauren Bell | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| caught · Tammy Beaumont · b Sophie Ecclestone |
| 21 |
| 28 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Nadine de Klerkrun out · Danielle Wyatt, Amy Jones · Sophie Ecclestone 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Danielle Wyatt, Amy Jones | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chloe Tryonlbw · Sophie Ecclestone0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sophie Ecclestone | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sinalo Jaftalbw · Lauren Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Bell | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tumi Sekhukhunenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Nonkululeko Mlabarun out · Lauren Bell · Sophie Ecclestone3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Lauren Bell | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 155.56 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Bell4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Lauren Filer3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophie Ecclestone3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Laura Wolvaardt, 3.0) · 2-12 (Anne Bosch, 5.2) · 3-22 (Annerie Dercksen, 8.5) · 4-31 (Suné Luus, 10.2) · 5-31 (Nadine de Klerk, 11.3) · 6-33 (Chloe Tryon, 13.4) · 7-44 (Sinalo Jafta, 14.5) · 8-44 (Marizanne Kapp, 17.4) · 9-64 (Nonkululeko Mlaba, 19.4)
Absent hurt: A Hlubi
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 12/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 17/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 17/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 22/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 31/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 31/4 |
| 12 | 0 | 31/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 33/5 |
| 14 | 0 | 33/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 44/7 |
| 16 | 0 | 44/7 |
| 17 | 0 | 44/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 46/8 |
| 19 | 13 | 59/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 64/9 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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