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England Women tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Women
15 Dec 2024 · Test
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Bouchiercaught · Sinalo Jafta · Ayanda Hlubi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sinalo Jafta · b Ayanda Hlubi | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Tammy Beaumontlbw · Tumi Sekhukhune1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tumi Sekhukhune | 12 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 21.82 |
 Heather Knightlbw · Nonkululeko Mlaba10 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 90 | 191 | 10 | 0 | 47.12 |
 |
| bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba |
| 37 |
| 58 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 63.79 |
 Danielle Wyattcaught · Anne Bosch · Tumi Sekhukhune4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anne Bosch · b Tumi Sekhukhune | 23 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Amy Jonescaught · Laura Wolvaardt · Nonkululeko Mlaba4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Wolvaardt · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 24 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Charlie Deancaught · Tumi Sekhukhune · Nonkululeko Mlaba0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tumi Sekhukhune · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
|---|
 Sophie Ecclestonelbw · Nonkululeko Mlaba0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 16 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 69.57 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaybowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Lauren Filercaught · M Klaas · Nadine de Klerk0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Klaas · b Nadine de Klerk | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
|---|
 Lauren Bellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 20 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marizanne Kapp3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayanda Hlubi2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Annerie Dercksen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Nonkululeko Mlaba4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 4 | 67 | 6 | 2.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Tumi Sekhukhune3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 3 | 35 | 2 | 2.92 | 0 | 0 |
| Nadine de Klerk2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.1 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 2.36 | 0 | 0 |
 Chloe Tryon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Suné Luus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 3.56 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Maia Bouchier, 5.2) · 2-42 (Tammy Beaumont, 19.4) · 3-109 (Nat Sciver-Brunt, 36.1) · 4-140 (Danielle Wyatt, 43.4) · 5-182 (Amy Jones, 55.2) · 6-188 (Charlie Dean, 58.0) · 7-224 (Sophie Ecclestone, 67.5) · 8-229 (Heather Knight, 69.1) · 9-232 (Ryana MacDonald-Gay, 71.5) · 10-236 (Lauren Filer, 74.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 11/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 29/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 31/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 38/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 40/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 40/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 40/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 40/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 43/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 44/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 47/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 48/2 |
| 24 | 10 | 58/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 59/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 60/2 |
| 27 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 66/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 68/2 |
| 30 | 7 | 75/2 |
| 31 | 0 | 75/2 |
| 32 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 33 | 12 | 93/2 |
| 34 | 6 | 99/2 |
| 35 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 36 | 6 | 109/2 |
| 37 | 3 | 112/3 |
| 38 | 7 | 119/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 122/3 |
| 40 | 6 | 128/3 |
| 41 | 1 | 129/3 |
| 42 | 0 | 129/3 |
| 43 | 2 | 131/3 |
| 44 | 13 | 144/4 |
| 45 | 5 | 149/4 |
| 46 | 3 | 152/4 |
| 47 | 3 | 155/4 |
| 48 | 2 | 157/4 |
| 49 | 10 | 167/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 168/4 |
| 51 | 3 | 171/4 |
| 52 | 5 | 176/4 |
| 53 | 3 | 179/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 180/4 |
| 55 | 2 | 182/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 183/5 |
| 57 | 1 | 184/5 |
| 58 | 4 | 188/6 |
| 59 | 2 | 190/6 |
| 60 | 3 | 193/6 |
| 61 | 4 | 197/6 |
| 62 | 5 | 202/6 |
| 63 | 12 | 214/6 |
| 64 | 2 | 216/6 |
| 65 | 1 | 217/6 |
| 66 | 3 | 220/6 |
| 67 | 2 | 222/6 |
| 68 | 2 | 224/7 |
| 69 | 5 | 229/7 |
| 70 | 1 | 230/8 |
| 71 | 1 | 231/8 |
| 72 | 1 | 232/9 |
| 73 | 2 | 234/9 |
| 74 | 2 | 236/9 |
| 75 | 0 | 236/10 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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