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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
8 Jul 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSussex started on 32%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Surrey: 41% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roynot out6 fours · 8 sixes | not out | 103* | 58 | 6 | 8 | 177.59 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · James Coles · Sean Hunt 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Coles · b Sean Hunt | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Josh Philippecaught · Charlie Tear · Sean Hunt 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Charlie Tear · b Sean Hunt | 31 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 155.00 |
 Daniel Lawrencenot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 28* | 18 | 2 | 2 | 155.56 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Hunt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 8.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Price0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 1 |
1-26 (Laurie Evans, 3.4) · 2-104 (Josh Philippe, 11.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 65/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 80/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 87/1 |
| 11 | 14 | 101/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 108/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 120/2 |
| 14 | 16 | 136/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 143/2 |
| 16 | 17 | 160/2 |
| 17 | 12 | 172/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 177/2 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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