OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Pakistan tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
5 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 57%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 7% to 78% during the match (Zimbabwe: 22% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhancaught · Tashinga Musekiwa · Wellington Masakadza 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tashinga Musekiwa · b Wellington Masakadza | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Omair Yousufcaught · Richard Ngarava · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richard Ngarava · b Blessing Muzarabani | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Usman Khancaught · Dion Myers · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dion Myers · b Blessing Muzarabani | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Salman Ali Agharun out · Brian Bennett, Tadiwanashe Marumani · Sikandar Raza 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Brian Bennett, Tadiwanashe Marumani | 32 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tayyab Tahircaught · Tadiwanashe Marumani · Tinotenda Maposa2 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Tadiwanashe Marumani · b Tinotenda Maposa |
| 21 |
| 14 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 150.00 |
| Qasim Akramcaught · Dion Myers · Ryan Burl 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dion Myers · b Ryan Burl | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Arafat Minhasnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 26 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Abbas Afridicaught · Wesley Madhevere · Richard Ngarava 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wesley Madhevere · b Richard Ngarava | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 107.14 |
|---|
| Jahandad Khannot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Masakadza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Richard Ngarava0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Tinotenda Maposa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Burl0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Omair Yousuf, 1.2) · 2-9 (Sahibzada Farhan, 2.1) · 3-19 (Usman Khan, 4.0) · 4-52 (Tayyab Tahir, 7.4) · 5-82 (Qasim Akram, 11.5) · 6-92 (Salman Ali Agha, 14.2) · 7-119 (Abbas Afridi, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 19/3 |
| 5 | 9 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 14 | 42/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 58/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 62/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 66/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 76/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 83/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 85/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 90/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 96/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 99/6 |
| 17 | 7 | 106/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 112/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 119/7 |
| 20 | 13 | 132/7 |
Usman Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
