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Photo: © Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia) 1975
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
21 Dec 2025 · T20
Kardinia Park, South Geelong, Victoria · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 40%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 49% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 21 Dec 2025, Melbourne Renegades played Hobart Hurricanes at Kardinia Park, South Geelong, Victoria. Recorded result: Hobart Hurricanes won by 7 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.