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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2025/26 · Men
26 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 47%; Thailand batted first.
Thailand's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namgay Thinleyhit wicket · Kamron Senamontree 0 fours · 1 sixes | hit wicket · b Kamron Senamontree | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266.67 |
| Tenjin Rabgeybowled · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mukesh Thakur | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tshering Tashicaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Nopphon Senamontree | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorjicaught · Mukesh Thakur · Kamron Senamontree 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mukesh Thakur · b Kamron Senamontree | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Namgang Chejaycaught · Y Saranonnakkun · Chaloemwong Chatphaisan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b Chaloemwong Chatphaisan | 7 | 14 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Gakul Ghalleycaught · S Desungnoen · Nopphon Senamontree 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Desungnoen · b Nopphon Senamontree | 25 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 92.59 |
|---|
| Tashi Phuntshocaught · Austin Lazarus · Sarawut Maliwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b Sarawut Maliwan | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Thinley Jamtshobowled · Phanuphong Thongsa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Tashi Dorjicaught · Nopphon Senamontree · Phanuphong Thongsa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nopphon Senamontree · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| U Dorjibowled · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mukesh Thakur | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Sonam Yesheynot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 13 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamron Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.08 | 2 | 0 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Phanuphong Thongsa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Namgay Thinley, 0.3) · 2-10 (Tenjin Rabgey, 1.3) · 3-15 (Ranjung Mikyo Dorji, 2.1) · 4-27 (Namgang Chejay, 5.5) · 5-29 (Tshering Tashi, 6.4) · 6-45 (Tashi Phuntsho, 10.1) · 7-48 (Thinley Jamtsho, 11.2) · 8-62 (Tashi Dorji, 14.0) · 9-62 (Gakul Ghalley, 14.1) · 10-80 (U Dorji, 17.1)
Recorded target: 141 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 24/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 26/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 28/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/5 |
| 8 | 4 | 33/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 37/5 |
| 10 | 8 | 45/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 48/6 |
| 12 | 2 | 50/7 |
| 13 | 11 | 61/7 |
| 14 | 1 | 62/8 |
| 15 | 3 | 65/9 |
| 16 | 2 | 67/9 |
| 17 | 12 | 79/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 80/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.