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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Essex started on 56%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdenbowled · Wiaan Mulder 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Wiaan Mulder | 20 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 90.91 |
 Adam Rossingtonbowled · Shane Snater0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shane Snater | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Josh de Cairescaught · Shane Snater · Zaman Akhter 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shane Snater · b Zaman Akhter | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · Zaman Akhter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Zaman Akhter | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Leus du Plooy |
| caught · Zaman Akhter · b NRM Thain |
| 14 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 82.35 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Wiaan Mulder · Shane Snater3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Shane Snater | 36 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · Zaman Akhter · NRM Thain1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zaman Akhter · b NRM Thain | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschcaught · Wiaan Mulder · NRM Thain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b NRM Thain | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| SHB Morganbowled · CE Bennett 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b CE Bennett | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Tom Helmnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellbowled · CE Bennett1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b CE Bennett | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| CE Bennett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.74 | 1 | 0 |
 Zaman Akhter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Wiaan Mulder0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| NRM Thain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Adam Rossington, 0.5) · 2-32 (Josh de Caires, 5.1) · 3-32 (Ben Geddes, 5.4) · 4-51 (Max Holden, 8.4) · 5-68 (Leus du Plooy, 12.1) · 6-72 (Luke Hollman, 13.0) · 7-87 (Eathan Bosch, 14.1) · 8-94 (SHB Morgan, 15.1) · 9-104 (Ryan Higgins, 16.4) · 10-116 (Noah Cornwell, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 37/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 42/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 49/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 57/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 60/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 68/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 72/6 |
| 14 | 15 | 87/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 94/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 98/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 109/9 |
| 18 | 7 | 116/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
