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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2023/24 · Men
15 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Maldives started on 23%; Maldives batted first.
Maldives's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Thailand: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavnot out 11 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 79* | 40 | 11 | 3 | 197.50 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · KTK Rodrigo · Azyan Farhath 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KTK Rodrigo · b Azyan Farhath | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 64.71 |
| S Desungnoenbowled · Ibrahim Rizan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ibrahim Rizan | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 73.33 |
| Austin Lazarusnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD |
|---|
| NB |
|---|
| Ibrahim Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umar Adam0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Mohamed Ishmath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ibrahim Rizan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Azyan Farhath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-56 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 6.1) · 2-83 (S Desungnoen, 10.0)
Recorded target: 106 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 56/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 62/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 74/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 97/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 109/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.