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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2023/24 · Men
15 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Maldives started on 23%; Maldives batted first.
Maldives's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Thailand: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azyan Farhathcaught · S Rungrueang · Nopphon Senamontree 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Rungrueang · b Nopphon Senamontree | 19 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 82.61 |
| Umar Adambowled · Robert Raina 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Robert Raina | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| KTK Rodrigocaught · N Nuntarach · W Ngowhuad 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · N Nuntarach · b W Ngowhuad | 15 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 60.00 |
| Shaof Hassanstumped · Akshaykumar Yadav · Nopphon Senamontree 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Nopphon Senamontree | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Hassan Rasheedbowled · Nopphon Senamontree 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nopphon Senamontree | 17 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 89.47 |
| Mohamed Azzambowled · W Ngowhuad 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b W Ngowhuad |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| Ismail Alicaught and bowled · Robert Raina 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Robert Raina | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Hassancaught · S Desungnoen · Robert Raina 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Desungnoen · b Robert Raina | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Rizanbowled · Chanchai Pengkumta 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Nazwan Ismailnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Mohamed Ishmathbowled · Chanchai Pengkumta 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Robert Raina0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Desungnoen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| K Namchaikul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| W Ngowhuad1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Umar Adam, 3.1) · 2-39 (Azyan Farhath, 6.5) · 3-43 (Shaof Hassan, 8.2) · 4-63 (KTK Rodrigo, 11.5) · 5-79 (Hassan Rasheed, 14.5) · 6-79 (Mohamed Azzam, 15.1) · 7-98 (Ibrahim Hassan, 17.1) · 8-105 (Ismail Ali, 18.0) · 9-105 (Ibrahim Rizan, 18.1) · 10-105 (Mohamed Ishmath, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 43/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 43/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 57/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 63/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 71/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 77/4 |
| 15 | 2 | 79/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 87/6 |
| 17 | 11 | 98/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 105/8 |
| 19 | 0 | 105/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.