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Photo: Mike Dickison
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
27 Dec 2025 · T20
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North · Venue photographRecorded result
Central Districts started on 54%; Central Districts batted first.
Central Districts's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Wellington: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsoncaught · Dane Cleaver · Brett Randell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Cleaver · b Brett Randell | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Raymond Toole · b AR Schaw | 51 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 182.14 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Josh Clarkson · AR Schaw 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Clarkson · b AR Schaw | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 36 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 156.52 |
| caught and bowled · b Ajaz Patel |
| 11 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dane Cleaver · b Ajaz Patel | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeklbw · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ajaz Patel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Peter Younghusbandstumped · Dane Cleaver · Jayden Lennox 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Dane Cleaver · b Jayden Lennox | 13 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 86.67 |
|---|
| Ben Searsbowled · AR Schaw 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b AR Schaw | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Michael Sneddencaught · Josh Clarkson · Raymond Toole 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Clarkson · b Raymond Toole | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| AR Schaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Raymond Toole0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.53 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| Josh Clarkson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Dean Foxcroft0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Tim Robinson, 0.3) · 2-13 (Nick Kelly, 1.5) · 3-90 (Muhammad Abbas, 8.5) · 4-112 (Tom Blundell, 11.4) · 5-116 (Jesse Tashkoff, 12.4) · 6-116 (Logan van Beek, 12.5) · 7-123 (Gareth Severin, 14.3) · 8-126 (Ben Sears, 15.3) · 9-129 (Michael Snedden, 16.4) · 10-142 (Peter Younghusband, 17.5)
Recorded target: 189 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 18 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 58/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 18 | 86/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 91/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 98/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 108/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 113/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 117/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 122/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 124/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 127/8 |
| 17 | 7 | 134/9 |
| 18 | 8 | 142/10 |
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Yahya Zeb: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.