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Bangladesh tour of Sri Lanka · 2025 · Men
17 Jun 2025 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographSri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankabowled · Hasan Mahmud 23 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 187 | 256 | 23 | 1 | 73.05 |
| Lahiru Udaracaught and bowled · Taijul Islam 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Taijul Islam | 29 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 85.29 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Nayeem Hasan | 54 | 119 | 4 | 0 | 45.38 |
3 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Litton Das · b Mominul Haque |
| 39 |
| 69 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 56.52 |
| Kamindu Mendiscaught · Litton Das · Nayeem Hasan 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Nayeem Hasan | 87 | 148 | 8 | 1 | 58.78 |
|---|
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · Litton Das · Nayeem Hasan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Nayeem Hasan | 19 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 52.78 |
|---|
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Litton Das · Hasan Mahmud 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Hasan Mahmud | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 29.41 |
|---|
| Milan Priyanathbowled · Hasan Mahmud 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 39 | 83 | 3 | 1 | 46.99 |
|---|
| Tharindu Ratnayakebowled · Nayeem Hasan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nayeem Hasan | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prabath Jayasuriyanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Asitha Fernandobowled · Nayeem Hasan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nayeem Hasan | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.0 | 4 | 74 | 3 | 3.52 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19.0 | 0 | 97 | 0 | 5.11 | 0 | 2 | |
| 41.0 | 3 | 156 | 1 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 | |
| 43.2 | 4 | 121 | 5 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-47 (Lahiru Udara, 12.1) · 2-204 (Dinesh Chandimal, 51.5) · 3-293 (Angelo Mathews, 74.4) · 4-331 (Pathum Nissanka, 85.3) · 5-377 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 96.0) · 6-386 (Kusal Mendis, 101.0) · 7-470 (Milan Priyanath, 126.3) · 8-470 (Kamindu Mendis, 127.1) · 9-471 (Tharindu Ratnayake, 128.0) · 10-485 (Asitha Fernando, 131.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 30/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 42/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 47/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 47/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 47/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 52/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 53/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 59/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 62/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 67/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 69/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 75/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 78/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 80/1 |
| 22 | 6 | 86/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 88/1 |
| 24 | 3 | 91/1 |
| 25 | 0 | 91/1 |
| 26 | 7 | 98/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 100/1 |
| 28 | 4 | 104/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 105/1 |
| 30 | 7 | 112/1 |
| 31 | 1 | 113/1 |
| 32 | 5 | 118/1 |
| 33 | 7 | 125/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 128/1 |
| 35 | 3 | 131/1 |
| 36 | 4 | 135/1 |
| 37 | 3 | 138/1 |
| 38 | 3 | 141/1 |
| 39 | 6 | 147/1 |
| 40 | 14 | 161/1 |
| 41 | 3 | 164/1 |
| 42 | 8 | 172/1 |
| 43 | 6 | 178/1 |
| 44 | 3 | 181/1 |
| 45 | 9 | 190/1 |
| 46 | 4 | 194/1 |
| 47 | 4 | 198/1 |
| 48 | 2 | 200/1 |
| 49 | 2 | 202/1 |
| 50 | 1 | 203/1 |
| 51 | 0 | 203/1 |
| 52 | 1 | 204/2 |
| 53 | 3 | 207/2 |
| 54 | 5 | 212/2 |
| 55 | 1 | 213/2 |
| 56 | 4 | 217/2 |
| 57 | 6 | 223/2 |
| 58 | 2 | 225/2 |
| 59 | 7 | 232/2 |
| 60 | 1 | 233/2 |
| 61 | 4 | 237/2 |
| 62 | 7 | 244/2 |
| 63 | 5 | 249/2 |
| 64 | 1 | 250/2 |
| 65 | 6 | 256/2 |
| 66 | 2 | 258/2 |
| 67 | 9 | 267/2 |
| 68 | 9 | 276/2 |
| 69 | 2 | 278/2 |
| 70 | 1 | 279/2 |
| 71 | 6 | 285/2 |
| 72 | 2 | 287/2 |
| 73 | 2 | 289/2 |
| 74 | 1 | 290/2 |
| 75 | 3 | 293/3 |
| 76 | 2 | 295/3 |
| 77 | 6 | 301/3 |
| 78 | 3 | 304/3 |
| 79 | 5 | 309/3 |
| 80 | 3 | 312/3 |
| 81 | 5 | 317/3 |
| 82 | 5 | 322/3 |
| 83 | 4 | 326/3 |
| 84 | 3 | 329/3 |
| 85 | 1 | 330/3 |
| 86 | 3 | 333/4 |
| 87 | 3 | 336/4 |
| 88 | 9 | 345/4 |
| 89 | 8 | 353/4 |
| 90 | 3 | 356/4 |
| 91 | 9 | 365/4 |
| 92 | 2 | 367/4 |
| 93 | 1 | 368/4 |
| 94 | 3 | 371/4 |
| 95 | 4 | 375/4 |
| 96 | 2 | 377/5 |
| 97 | 2 | 379/5 |
| 98 | 0 | 379/5 |
| 99 | 1 | 380/5 |
| 100 | 6 | 386/5 |
| 101 | 0 | 386/6 |
| 102 | 0 | 386/6 |
| 103 | 4 | 390/6 |
| 104 | 1 | 391/6 |
| 105 | 4 | 395/6 |
| 106 | 2 | 397/6 |
| 107 | 6 | 403/6 |
| 108 | 4 | 407/6 |
| 109 | 7 | 414/6 |
| 110 | 3 | 417/6 |
| 111 | 6 | 423/6 |
| 112 | 4 | 427/6 |
| 113 | 2 | 429/6 |
| 114 | 2 | 431/6 |
| 115 | 1 | 432/6 |
| 116 | 4 | 436/6 |
| 117 | 0 | 436/6 |
| 118 | 4 | 440/6 |
| 119 | 1 | 441/6 |
| 120 | 12 | 453/6 |
| 121 | 6 | 459/6 |
| 122 | 1 | 460/6 |
| 123 | 1 | 461/6 |
| 124 | 4 | 465/6 |
| 125 | 4 | 469/6 |
| 126 | 1 | 470/6 |
| 127 | 0 | 470/7 |
| 128 | 1 | 471/9 |
| 129 | 4 | 475/9 |
| 130 | 4 | 479/9 |
| 131 | 6 | 485/9 |
| 132 | 0 | 485/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anamul Haque: Pro-Vc AIUB · CC BY 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nayeem Hasan: IqbalHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.