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Photo: Ji-Elle
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh tour of Sri Lanka · 2025 · Men
17 Jun 2025 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographSri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 17 Jun 2025, Bangladesh played Sri Lanka at Galle International Stadium. Recorded result: draw.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.