OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Champions Trophy · 2024/25 · Men
2 Mar 2025 · ODI
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 58%; India batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Will Young · Kyle Jamieson1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Kyle Jamieson | 15 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 88.24 |
 Shubman Gilllbw · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matt Henry | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
 Virat Kohlicaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 11 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 78.57 |
 Shreyas Iyercaught · Will Young · William O’Rourke4 fours · 2 sixes |
India's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (New Zealand: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Will Young · b William O’Rourke |
| 79 |
| 98 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 80.61 |
 Axar Patelcaught · Kane Williamson · Rachin Ravindra3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Rachin Ravindra | 42 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 68.85 |
|---|
 KL Rahulcaught · Tom Latham · Mitchell Santner1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Mitchell Santner | 23 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 79.31 |
|---|
 Hardik Pandyacaught · Rachin Ravindra · Matt Henry4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rachin Ravindra · b Matt Henry | 45 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Kane Williamson · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kane Williamson · b Matt Henry | 16 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Shamicaught · Glenn Phillips · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Matt Henry | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Kuldeep Yadavnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 5 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Kyle Jamieson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 3.88 | 1 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 5.22 | 2 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 4.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 6.22 | 2 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 5.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Shubman Gill, 2.5) · 2-22 (Rohit Sharma, 5.1) · 3-30 (Virat Kohli, 6.4) · 4-128 (Axar Patel, 29.2) · 5-172 (Shreyas Iyer, 36.2) · 6-182 (KL Rahul, 39.1) · 7-223 (Ravindra Jadeja, 45.5) · 8-246 (Hardik Pandya, 49.3) · 9-249 (Mohammed Shami, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 24/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 30/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 33/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 35/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 38/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 41/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 44/3 |
| 14 | 0 | 44/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 46/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 57/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 70/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 72/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 76/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 78/3 |
| 21 | 6 | 84/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 88/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 90/3 |
| 24 | 6 | 96/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 104/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 108/3 |
| 27 | 9 | 117/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 118/3 |
| 29 | 9 | 127/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 130/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 131/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 138/4 |
| 33 | 6 | 144/4 |
| 34 | 10 | 154/4 |
| 35 | 10 | 164/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 170/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 173/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 177/5 |
| 39 | 5 | 182/5 |
| 40 | 3 | 185/6 |
| 41 | 11 | 196/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 199/6 |
| 43 | 3 | 202/6 |
| 44 | 6 | 208/6 |
| 45 | 8 | 216/6 |
| 46 | 7 | 223/7 |
| 47 | 2 | 225/7 |
| 48 | 4 | 229/7 |
| 49 | 15 | 244/7 |
| 50 | 5 | 249/9 |
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Mohammed Shami: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.JPG){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
