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Norway Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2025 · Men
17 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 62%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Ghanicaught · M Shahbaz Butt · AJ Parmar 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · M Shahbaz Butt · b AJ Parmar | 49 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 140.00 |
| V Ravindrancaught · Aminullah Tanha · Vinay Ravi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aminullah Tanha · b Vinay Ravi | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Zeeshan Kukikhelcaught · Khizer Ahmed · Ahmadullah Shinwari 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khizer Ahmed · b Ahmadullah Shinwari | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Kasir Ahmedcaught · M Shahbaz Butt · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Shahbaz Butt · b Qamar Mushtaque | 19 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 90.48 |
| Ali Farasatstumped · Khizer Ahmed · M Shahbaz Butt 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Khizer Ahmed · b M Shahbaz Butt | 8 | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| 66.67 |
| Ali Nawazcaught · Walid Ghauri · Wahidullah Sahak 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Walid Ghauri · b Wahidullah Sahak | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 76.92 |
|---|
| Zahir Mohammedrun out · Khizer Ahmed, Ibrahim Rahimi · Qamar Mushtaque 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Khizer Ahmed, Ibrahim Rahimi | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| KN Gabhanenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
| Kamran Wahidrun out · Khizer Ahmed, AJ Parmar · Wahidullah Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Khizer Ahmed, AJ Parmar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Amal Jacobnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinay Ravi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Ahmadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 5 | 0 |
| M Shahbaz Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Parmar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahidullah Sahak0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Walid Ghauri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (V Ravindran, 3.0) · 2-34 (Zeeshan Kukikhel, 3.4) · 3-73 (Abbas Ghani, 9.2) · 4-90 (Ali Farasat, 12.3) · 5-105 (Kasir Ahmed, 14.4) · 6-107 (Ali Nawaz, 15.2) · 7-117 (Zahir Mohammed, 16.3) · 8-124 (Kamran Wahid, 17.3)
Recorded target: 173 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 43/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 52/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 83/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 84/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 89/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 96/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 107/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 112/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 121/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 129/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 132/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 140/8 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
